This paper evaluates an Adaptive LASSO-MGARCH model for multivariate volatility forecasting, with an application to green and conventional bonds, equities, energy commodities, and EU carbon allowances. By introducing coefficient-specific adaptive penalisation directly into the multivariate GARCH...

Motivation: The relationship between the level of education and population income lies at the heart of current scientific and political debates on the social and economic development of countries. The issue is an important one, as the gap between countries in this regard is large and has widened...

Disaggregation of mortality by cause has advanced the development of life tables for life insurance and pension purposes. However, the assumption that the causes of death are independent is a challenge in reality. Furthermore, models that determine relationships among causes of death such as...

This paper presents a distribution-free test, based on the permutation approach, on treatment effects with a multivariate categorical response variable. The motivating example is a typical case-control biomedical study, performed to investigate the effect of the treatment called "assisted motor...

This paper develops new identification results for multidimensional continuous measurement-error models where all observed measurements are contaminated by potentially correlated errors and none provides an injective mapping of the latent distribution. Using third-order cross-moments, the paper...

Examining the persistence of volatility transmission over an extended timeframe, regardless of specific events, reveals significant importance, as it uncovers the inherent fundamental and structural drivers that give rise to volatility. However, previous research in South Asia is minimal and has...

This paper compares the statistical and economic performance of state-of-the-art highfrequency based multivariate volatility models with a simpler, widely used alternative-the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) filter. Using over two decades of 100 U.S. stock returns (2002-2023), we...

This study develops a multidimensional classification of Latin American and Caribbean countries based on a multidimensional set of economic, social, technological, and environmental indicators. This study develops a multidimensional assessment of the performance of Latin American and Caribbean...

This paper introduces a novel multivariate composite estimator for the Labour Force Survey (LFS). Unlike the univariate composite estimators used in some countries, the multivariate estimator takes into account the different probabilities of transitioning between labour market categories, such...

In the analysis of multivariate stochastic volatility models, many estimation procedures begin by transforming the data, taking the logarithm of the squared returns to obtain a linear state space model. A well-known series representation links the correlations between elements of the observation...

This paper presents a novel copula-based autoregressive framework for multilayer arrays of integer-valued time series with tensor structure. It complements recent advances in tensor time series that predominantly focus on real-valued data and overlook the unique properties of integer-valued time...

In the last few decades, the study of ordinal data in which the variable of interest is not exactly observed but only known to be in a specific ordinal category has become important. In Psychometrics such variables are analysed under the heading of item response models (IRM). In Econometrics,...

The article presents a proposal for a goodness-of-fit test for multivariate normality. The idea of the test is based on the empty cells test, which is well known in the literature. In the empty cells test, the area of the random variable's variability is divided into m disjoint cells. Assuming...

This paper introduces two methodological improvements to the Hodrick- Prescott (HP) filter for decomposing GDP into trend and cycle components. First, we propose a robust univariate filter that accounts for extreme observations - such as the COVID-19 pandemic - by treating them as additive...

What is the relationship between international travel and pro-European dispositions? Most theoretical research on European integration argues that international travel fosters these dispositions, and many cross-sectional studies support this expectation. However, support for this association...

What is the relationship between international travel and pro-European dispositions? Most theoretical research on European integration argues that international travel fosters these dispositions, and many cross-sectional studies support this expectation. However, support for this association...

In many applications of the multivariate analyses of variance, the classic parametric solutions for testing hypotheses of equality in population means or multisample and multivariate location problems might not be suitable for various reasons. Multivariate multisample location problems lack a...

In the last few decades, the study of ordinal data in which the variable of interest is not exactly observed but only known to be in a specific ordinal category has become important. In Psychometrics such variables are analysed under the heading of item response models (IRM). In Econometrics,...

This paper introduces an extended multivariate EGARCH model that overcomes the zero-return problem and allows for negative news and volatility spillover effects, making it an attractive tool for multivariate volatility modeling. Despite limitations, such as noninvertibility and unclear...

Accurate forecasting of solar PV generation is critical for integrating renewable energy into power systems. This paper presents a multivariate probabilistic forecasting model that addresses the challenges posed by imbalanced data resulting from day and night-time periods in solar photovoltaic...

This paper shows that the integrated modified OLS (IM-OLS) estimator developed for cointegrating linear regressions in Vogelsang and Wagner (2014a) can be straightforwardly extended to cointegrating multivariate polynomial regressions. These are regression models that include as explanatory...

This paper presents a credit gap for Malta derived from a semi-structural multivariate filter. This modelling approach has several advantages over univariate approaches typically used, for example to construct the Basel gap. The multivariate filtering of observed data into trends and cycles is...

This study introduces a multivariate extension to the class of stochastic volatility models, employing integrated nested Laplace approximations (INLA) for estimation. Bayesian methods for estimating stochastic volatility models through Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) can become computationally...