This paper explains brinkmanship with infinitely repeated veto bargaining games, where players have private information. In the basic model, the paper solves for two types of Perfect Bayesian Equilibria. First, in Risk-Taking Equilibria (RTE), the proposer is more risk-seeking and engages in...

This study introduces and validates a domain-specific investment risk-preference measure that integrates elements of revealed-preference tests, using choice scenario dyads, with stated-preference approaches that leverage individual experiences and perceptions. Data from two surveys were analyzed...

We provide evidence for an expectation gap, where risk-averse as well as impatient households and experts provide significantly higher prior inflation forecasts. Using a survey randomized control trial (RCT), we can show that information about inflation forecasts closes this expectations gap....

We provide evidence for an expectation gap, where risk-averse as well as impatient households and experts provide significantly higher prior inflation forecasts. Using a survey randomized control trial (RCT), we can show that information about inflation forecasts closes this expectations gap....

We propose a novel way of measuring trust in institutions, which draws on the experimental method used to elicit time preferences. Our measure is provided in the meaningful metric of the subjective probability of trustworthiness of the trustee. In a lab‐in‐the‐field setting in the...

Many risk and time elicitation designs rely on choice lists that aim to capture a switch point. A choice list for a respondent typically contains two switch point defining choices; the other responses are dominated in the sense that the preferred option could be inferred from the switch point....

We develop a micro-founded framework for accounting for individuals' effort and cognitive noise which confound estimates of preferences based on observed behavior. Using a largescale experimental dataset we estimate that failure to properly account for decision errors due to (rational)...

Recent work in economics has developed survey-based measures of economic preferences that are "experimentally" or "behaviorally validated." We scrutinize this approach focusing on the Global Preference Survey (Falk et al., 2018, 2023). Replicating their behavioral validation on almost 2,000...

This paper provides the first evidence that children's economic preferences vary systematically with parental mental health. Using experimentally elicited measures of economic preferences from more than 4,500 children in Bangladesh, we document that children of parents with indications of mental...

This paper provides the first evidence that children’s economic preferences vary systematically with parental mental health. Using experimentally elicited measures of economic preferences from more than 4,500 children in Bangladesh, we document that children of parents with indications of...

Performance-contingent pay raises productivity, yet in the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) only about 16% of workers report receiving performance pay, with the incidence being roughly seven percentage points higher among university graduates than among non-graduates. This coexistence of low...

Using granular security-level data from bond funds domiciled in the US and the euro area, we identify a market-based risk-taking channel of monetary policy transmission via the credit-risk and the maturity structure of bond funds' portfolios. We measure credit risk at the fund level as the...

As China's population ages and the sustainability of the public pension system is at risk, personal savings become crucial. As such, the quality of financial planning for retirement (FPR) has been recognized as a key to safeguarding financial well-being during retirement. This study examines the...

We study the impact of financial literacy on financial risk preference. When financial literacy is measured jointly by actual and self-assessed scores, we find compelling evidence of a valley-shaped relationship between actual financial literacy and risk preference. At a given level of...

This paper studies the relationship between income inequality and risk taking. Increased income inequality is likely to enlarge the scope for upward comparisons and, in the presence of reference-dependent preferences, to increase willingness to take risks. Using a globally representative dataset...

This paper studies the relationship between income inequality and risk taking. Increased income inequality is likely to enlarge the scope for upward comparisons and, in the presence of reference-dependent preferences, to increase willingness to take risks. Using a globally representative dataset...

We investigate how strongly the local environment beyond the family can contribute to understanding the formation of children's economic preferences. Building on precise geolocation data for around 6000 children, we use fixed effects, spatial autoregressive models and Kriging to capture the...

Digitalization is reshaping entrepreneurship, yet the mechanisms that translate new technological possibilities into entrepreneurial intention remain poorly understood, especially for resource-constrained small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). Building on the Theory of Planned Behaviour,...

This study examines the performance of trading strategies based on beta, idiosyncratic volatility (IVOL), MAX (lottery behavior), skewness, and tail risk in five major Asian markets, using data from 1999 to 2021. The most important determinant of cross-sectional differences in strategy premiums...