Search Results - subject_exact:"Scenario analysis"

Hybrid electric vehicles and CO₂ emission mitigation in Tunisia : a LEAP model analysis

Daldoul, Manel; Dakhlaoui, Ahlem - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015617022

Simulating the Economy-Energy-Environment (3E) system under policy scenarios : evidence from the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region

Jing, Munan; Zhao, Xinyu; Zhao, Pengda - 2026

The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region of China faces challenges in achieving sustainable development, necessitating a delicate balance between rapid economic growth, environmental protection, and efficient energy utilization. Against this background, this paper develops a System Dynamics (SD)...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015653851

A nonparametric approach to augmenting a Bayesian VAR with nonlinear factors

Clark, Todd E.; Huber, Florian; Koop, Gary - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016073010

Regional foresight and scenario modeling of socio-economic transformation : the case of the Kostanay Region, Kazakhstan

Sergeyeva, Aigul; Makhambetov, Murat; Keubasova, Gaukhar; … - 2026

This study investigates the spatial and socio-economic transformation of the labour market in the Kostanay Region of Kazakhstan through the application of foresight and scenario modelling. The research aims to construct a conceptual and predictive framework of regional employment transformation...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016071037

The macroeconomic and biophysical impacts of decarbonization and circular economy strategies a scenario analysis for Austria

Meyer, Ina; Sommer, Mark; Baumgart, André; … - 2026

Growth in resource use is a key driver of climate change and environmental degradation. In recognition of this, a few governments have set targets to reduce their countries' per capita resource use while striving to achieve the goals set out in the Paris Agreement. In this context, the concept...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10016085296

A scenario-based requirement analysis of R&D projects from the cross-efficiency perspective

Wang, Qinru; Yang, Qing - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015375833

Climate risk stress testing : a survey and classification

Reinders, Henk Jan; Schoenmaker, Dirk; Dijk, Mathijs van - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015332604

Achieving banking resilience under compound shocks : scenario analysis, management actions, and decision infrastructure

Ahmad, Nasir M.; Balashova, Olga - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015670454

Monetary policy, uncertainty, and communications

Garga, Vaishali; Herbst, Edward P.; McKay, Alisdair; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015471253

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Monetary policy, uncertainty, and communications

Garga, Vaishali; Herbst, Edward P.; McKay, Alisdair; … - 2025 - This version: September 2025

Edition: This version: September 2025

Book / Working Paper

Forecasting corporate default probabilities : a local logit approach for scenario analysis

Cascarino, Giuseppe; Ciocchetta, Federica; Pietrosanti, … - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015408453

Examining the application possibilities and economic issues of an alternative drive chain in Hungary : scenario analysis

Boldizsár, Adrienn; Török, Ádám; Szander, Norina - 2025

Background: A societal shift in attitudes is going to be required to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in the field of transportation, which is crucial to the level of mitigation that can be achieved. There is increasing pressure on policymakers to address climate change and, in turn, to promote...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015436324

Robust planning of production networks at an automotive supplier

Bruetzel, Oliver; Hörger, Moritz; Foran, Anthony; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015445232

Cyber vulnerabilities at large US financial institutions and their third-party service providers

Chang, Jin Wook; Dice, Jacob; Du, Shengwu; Flury, Adam; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015605505

Climate crisis and sustainability : the impact of climate change on SDG indicators in Germany

Fehnker, David; Reuschel, Saskia; Stöver, Britta - 2025

The impacts of climate change and extreme weather events are becoming more and more evident in Europe and warming is occurring much faster than previously thought. Despite the necessary mitigation and decarbonisation efforts, the global warming that has already started and the associated climate...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015637829

A large Bayesian vector autoregression of the yield curve and macroeconomic variables with no-arbitrage restriction

Lee, Sunho; Kang, Kyu Ho - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015401970

A portfolio perspective on euro area bank profitability using stress test data

Mirza, Harun; Salleo, Carmelo; Trachana, Zoe - 2024

This study assesses euro area banks' profitability using granular stress test data from three EU-wide exercises, coordinated by the European Banking Authority, that took place in 2016, 2018, and 2021. We propose a credit portfolio-level risk-adjusted return on assets for the euro area as a whole...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015061511

Bank capital requirements, lending supply, and economic activity : a scenario analysis perspective

Conti, Antonio M.; Nobili, Andrea; Signoretti, Federico M. - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015374234

Aiello, Maria Alessia; Angelico, Cristina; Cova, Pietro; … - 2024

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014634271

Operational risk stress testing : challenges and approaches

Grimwarde, Michael - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015449968

Liquidity stress tests for banks - range of practices and possible developments

Baudino, Patrizia; Carvalho, Pablo de; Svoronos, … - 2024

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015100992

Defining resilience : developing operational risk scenarios for UK insurance companies

Pantos, Stavros - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015450471

Planning for potential increases in disbursements and risk of managed funds conditional on desired short-term performance levels

Galagedera, Don U. A. - 2024

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014528524

Expecting the unexpected : stressed scenarios for economic growth

González-Rivera, Gloria; Rodríguez-Caballero, Carlos … - 2024

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015156792

The future of recruitment : a mixed-methods scenario analysis in Germany

Weinert, Stephan; Günther, Elmar; Pfeil, Silko - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015640580

A latent factor cash flow model for alternative investment funds

Cao, Wen; Beek, Misha van - 2025

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015644701

Research and development priorities for security of embedded hardware devices

Moghadasi, Negin; Luu, Mai; Adekunle, Rahman O.; … - 2024

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015405850

A simulation-based disaster management framework to analyze housing recovery : the case of Hampton Roads, USA

Diaz, Rafael; Behr, Joshua G.; Acero, Beatriz; Giles, … - 2024

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015407969

Network Design, Redesign and Supply Chain Resilience : Understanding the Managerial Perspective

Faggioni, Francesca; Rossi, Marco Valerio - 2025

Chapter 1: Resilience A new need for global supply and value chain networks -- Chapter 2: Is resilience a buzzword Towards an understanding of its meaning through the lenses of practitioners -- Chapter 3: Delving into the complexity of supply chain resilience and network redesign in turbulent...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015492356

Saudi Arabia net-zero GHG emissions by 2060 : transformation of the transport sector

Kamboj, Puneet; Hejazi, Mohamad; Qiu, Yang; Kyle, Page; … - 2024

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014502846

Global spatiotemporal multi-criteria analysis of coastal risk : current and future hot spots and clusters

Bidoia, Marco; Giupponi, Carlo - 2026

Coastal zones are among the environments most threatened by climate change. Although various efforts for global mapping and classification of coastal social and ecological systems have been undertaken, the ability to analyse and describe the spatial heterogeneity and multidimensionality of these...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015588204

The German Energiewende : a green deal template or planned failure?

Deshaies, Michel - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015620434

Catastrophe risk in a stochastic multi-population mortality model

Robben, Jens; Antonio, Katrien - 2024

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015121184

Evaluation of the economic impact of electricity blackout scenarios for the automotive sector and the Slovak economy

Turcsek, Patrik; Lábaj, Martin - 2026

We estimate the economic consequences of electricity blackout scenarios on the automotive industry and the Slovak economy. Our estimates of inoperability of the automotive sector range from 2.9 % to 4.2 % across regions on the first day of the blackout, while the overall inoperability of the...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015626591

An adaptive research approach to COVID-19 forecasting for regional health systems in England

Betcheva, Lidia; Erhun, Feryal; Feylessoufi, Antoine; … - 2024

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015192027

Macro stress testing the credit risk of conventional and participation banks in Turkey : a nonparametric quantile regression approach

Aydemir, Resul; Atik, Zehra; Güloğlu, Bülent - 2024

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015195386

Strategic foresight for FinTech governance : a scenario-based MCDA approach for Kuwait

Kayed, Salah; Alhawwatma, Zaid; Morshed, Amer; Khrais, … - 2026

This study investigates how strategic foresight can enhance FinTech governance and policy resilience in emerging economies, using Kuwait as an illustrative case. It aims to identify which foresight interventions should be prioritized across alternative futures to strengthen innovation, security,...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015628715

Decision making in disaster management : considering the medicated society : a case study

Jefferson, Theresa; Phillips-Wren, Gloria - 2024

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015604608

Lage und Risiken der chemischen Industrie

Mergner, Louisa; Bovenschulte, Marc; Wolter, Marc Ingo; … - 2026

Die Chemieindustrie steht im Zentrum der sozial-ökologischen Transformation: Als größter industrieller Verbraucher von Mineralölen und Erdgas in Deutschland und damit bedeutender Verursacher von Emissionen ist sie in besonderem Maße gefordert, sich grundlegend zu verändern. Ohne eine...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015637835

Climate risk and green finance : central bank initiatives around the world with special reference to India

Nair, Sunil T. S. - 2024

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015577750

Multivariate economic tail risk and scenario analysis using the survey of professional forecasters

Schick, Manuel; Opschoor, Anne - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015638609

A glimpse on the futures of telecommunication networks : from market, technology and regulation trends to strategic foresight

Corazza, Giovanni Emanuele; Rinaldi, Ilaria; Coletto, Irene - 2026

This paper explores the current state, trends, and possible futures of the telecommunication ecosystem in Italy, outlining strategies for development. We adopt a combined methodology, integrating participatory scenario building through the Nominal Group Technique with a structured literature...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015639701

Assessing climate risks in Uruguay's banks using NGFS short-term scenarios

Barón, Andrea; Dassatti Camors, Cecilia; Lavagna, Gabriela - 2026

The agricultural sector is a key driver of the Uruguayan economy, making it particularly vulnerable to hydrometeorological events. This paper assesses the impact of severe physical risk events - combining droughts, heatwaves, and wildfires - on the capital position of Uruguayan banks, using the...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015643949

Are sovereign debts sustainable under energy transition?

Mammetti, Veronica; Zenios, Stauros Andrea; Morelli, Giacomo - 2026

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015644724

At the Edge of Risk : Assessing Mongolia’s “Plausible Worst-Case” Scenario

Petrauskaite, Migle; Lin, Xinru; Pollitt, Hector - 2026

This paper develops a plausible worst-case scenario for Mongolia in which three major disasters—a sudden collapse in coal exports to China, a prolonged dzud (severe winter disaster), and a severe flood in Ulaanbaatar—occur in quick succession. While each event has precedent in Mongolia, an...

Persistent link: https://ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015655956