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Year of publication
Subject
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Scenario analysis 2,740 Szenariotechnik 2,629 Szenario 386 Deutschland 346 Theorie 319 Theory 319 Germany 303 Welt 285 World 285 Strategisches Management 270 Strategic management 251 Climate change 226 Prognose 225 Klimawandel 222 Greenhouse gas emissions 220 Treibhausgas-Emissionen 219 Forecast 198 EU countries 197 EU-Staaten 197 Wirkungsanalyse 193 Impact assessment 192 scenario analysis 181 Klimaschutz 177 Climate protection 174 Prognoseverfahren 159 Forecasting model 152 Risikomanagement 151 Risk management 145 USA 142 United States 138 Simulation 122 Nachhaltige Entwicklung 113 Sustainable development 109 Energiewirtschaft 89 Wirtschaftsprognose 84 Energy sector 82 Economic forecast 81 Russia 81 Russland 78 Technischer Fortschritt 78
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Online availability
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Free 759 Undetermined 601
Type of publication
All
Article 1,727 Book / Working Paper 1,476 Other 3
Type of publication (narrower categories)
All
Article in journal 1,251 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 1,251 Graue Literatur 509 Non-commercial literature 509 Aufsatz im Buch 346 Book section 346 Working Paper 321 Arbeitspapier 299 Hochschulschrift 171 Thesis 132 Collection of articles of several authors 53 Sammelwerk 53 Forschungsbericht 47 Case study 40 Fallstudie 40 Amtsdruckschrift 37 Government document 37 Dissertation u.a. Prüfungsschriften 34 Advisory report 23 Gutachten 23 Aufsatzsammlung 22 Konferenzschrift 19 Bibliografie enthalten 16 Bibliography included 16 Reprint 15 Article 12 Conference paper 12 Konferenzbeitrag 12 Commentary 8 Kommentar 8 Amtliche Publikation 7 Collection of articles written by one author 6 Conference proceedings 6 Guidebook 6 Ratgeber 6 Sammlung 6 Statistik 4 Festschrift 3 Lehrbuch 3 Mehrbändiges Werk 3
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Language
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English 2,189 German 705 Undetermined 183 Russian 64 French 21 Dutch 11 Polish 11 Slovak 6 Ukrainian 6 Serbian 5 Slovenian 4 Czech 3 Hungarian 3 Lithuanian 3 Romanian 2 Bulgarian 1 Estonian 1 Finnish 1 Croatian 1 Norwegian 1 Spanish 1
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Author
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Fink, Alexander 17 Wright, George 17 Ramírez, Rafael 16 Gracht, Heiko von der 14 Clarke, Leon 12 McKibbin, Warwick J. 12 Chermack, Thomas J. 11 Fernando, Roshen 11 Vuuren, Detlef P. van 11 Cairns, George 10 Giannone, Domenico 10 Briones, Roehlano M. 9 Heijden, Kees van der 9 Lenza, Michele 9 Madlener, Reinhard 9 Meadows, Dennis L. 9 Meadows, Donella H. 9 Riahi, Keywan 9 Schiebel, Edgar 9 Sedlácek, Petr 9 Stelzer, Birgit 9 Sterk, Vincent 9 Babbel, David F. 8 Randers, Jørgen 8 Wallace, Stein W. 8 Wulf, Torsten 8 Apholte, Alfred 7 Bach, Stefan 7 Gausemeier, Jürgen 7 Graf, Hans Georg 7 Klein, Martin 7 Mietzner, Dana 7 Paltsev, Sergey V. 7 Pfluger, Benjamin 7 Ringland, Gill 7 Selsky, John W. 7 Tietz, Bruno 7 Zenios, Stauros Andrea 7 Blesl, Markus 6 Brecht, Leo 6
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Institution
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Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 12 Europäische Kommission / Gemeinsame Forschungsstelle 11 Deutschland / Umweltbundesamt 10 Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden 9 Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung 8 OECD 8 National Bureau of Economic Research 5 Universität Ulm / Institut für Technologie- und Prozessmanagement 5 Niederlande / Centraal Planbureau 4 Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München 4 Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 4 Books on Demand GmbH <Norderstedt> 3 European Association of Agricultural Economists - EAAE 3 Forschungszentrum Jülich / Programmgruppe Technologiefolgenforschung 3 Hamburgisches WeltWirtschaftsInstitut 3 International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis 3 Johann Heinrich von Thünen-Institut 3 Philippine Institute for Development Studies (PIDS), Government of the Philippines 3 Polski Instytut Ekonomiczny 3 Shaker Verlag 3 Urad za Makroekonomske Analize in Razvoj <Ljubljana> 3 Verlag Dr. Kovač 3 Zukunftsinstitut 3 Agricultural Economics Society - AES 2 Berenberg-Bank 2 Bertelsmann Stiftung 2 Bundesinstitut für Bau-, Stadt- und Raumforschung 2 C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 2 Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research (CEEP), Beijing Institute of Technology 2 Club of Rome 2 Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung / Arbeitskreis Langfristprognose 2 Deutschland <Bundesrepublik> / Enquete-Kommission Vorsorge zum Schutz der Erdatmosphäre 2 Deutschland <Bundesrepublik> / Umweltbundesamt 2 East Asian Bureau of Economic Research (EABER) 2 European Central Bank 2 European Centre for the Development of Vocational Training 2 European Wind Energy Association 2 Europäische Gemeinschaften / Generaldirektion Wirtschaft und Finanzen 2 Europäische Kommission / Generaldirektion Energie 2 Europäische Kommission / Generaldirektion Forschung und Innovation 2
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Published in...
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Technological forecasting & social change : an international journal 190 Energy economics 38 Studies on Russian economic development : the official journal of the Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences 31 Climate policy 28 International journal of energy sector management : IJESM 25 Business planning for turbulent times : new methods for applying scenarios 24 Working paper 22 Ecological economics : the transdisciplinary journal of the International Society for Ecological Economics 21 European journal of operational research : EJOR 20 Energy policy 18 International journal of foresight and innovation policy : IJFIP 17 Advances in developing human resources : ADHR 14 Scenarios for success : turning insights into action 14 Energy 12 Technology analysis & strategic management 12 Water Resources Management 12 CPB document 11 Computational Management Science : CMS 11 Energy Policy 11 Journal of air transport management 11 Climate change economics 10 Europäische Hochschulschriften / 5 10 International journal of production economics 10 Beiträge zur Strukturforschung 9 World Bank E-Library Archive 9 Central Europe in transition : towards EU membership 8 EUR 8 ITOP-Schriftenreihe 8 Journal of risk management in financial institutions 8 Schriften des Energiewirtschaftlichen Instituts 8 Tourism management : research, policies, practice 8 Transportation research / E : an international journal 8 Zeitschrift für Energiewirtschaft : ZfE 8 Climate change 7 Economics of energy & environmental policy 7 HNI-Verlagsschriftenreihe 7 Springer eBook Collection 7 Working paper series 7 Agrarwirtschaft : Zeitschrift für Betriebswirtschaft, Marktforschung und Agrarpolitik 6 Applied Energy 6
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Source
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ECONIS (ZBW) 2,853 RePEc 165 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 146 EconStor 36 BASE 4 ArchiDok 1 Other ZBW resources 1
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Showing 1 - 50 of 3,206
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Energy demand modeling for the eastern economic corridor of thailand : a case study of rayongprovince
Chanidaporn Lunsamrong; Atit Tippichai - In: International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy : IJEEP 12 (2022) 2, pp. 497-501
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The climate resilience cycle : using scenario analysis to inform climate-resilient business strategies
Huiskamp, Udeke; Brinke, Bauke ten; Kramer, Gert Jan - In: Business strategy and the environment 31 (2022) 4, pp. 1763-1775
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Simulating the trade effects of the COVID-19 pandemic : scenario analysis based on quantitative trade modelling
Bekkers, Eddy; Koopman, Robert Bernard - In: The world economy : the leading journal on … 45 (2022) 2, pp. 445-467
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Approaching European supervisory risk assessment with SupTech : a proposal of an early warning system
Guerra, Pedro; Castelli, Mauro; Côrte-Real, Nadine - In: Risks : open access journal 10 (2022) 4, pp. 1-23
Risk analysis and scenario testing are two of the core activities carried out by economists at central banks. With the increasing adoption of machine learning to enhance decision-support systems, and the amount of collected data spiking, institutions provide countless use-cases for the...
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Private households' preferences for alternative fuel vehicles in Germany : an empirically founded analysis of adoption decisions, willingness-to-pay, and policy scenarios
Hackbarth, André - 2022 - 1. Auflage
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Scenarios for an impact assessment of global bioeconomy strategies : results from a co-design process
Delzeit, Ruth; Heimann, Tobias; Schünemann, Franziska; … - 2021
The replacement of fossil resources with renewable biomass in a bioeconomy is seen as a major contribution to climate change mitigation. This transformation will affect all members of society, making it crucial to consider the views of different stakeholders to ensure a socially acceptable...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012596137
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A skill-specific dynamic labour supply and labour demand framework : a scenario analysis for the Western Balkan countries to 2030
Leitner, Sandra M. - 2021
This paper pursues a scenario analysis to shed light on past and potential future labour supply and labour demand dynamics of different skill groups in the six Western Balkan countries (WB6). It differentiates between four educational levels (low, medium-general, medium-VET, and high) and looks...
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Scenario analysis with the DD-PD mapping approach : stock market shocks and U.S. corporate default risk
Chan-Lau, Jorge A. - 2021
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"Making financial sense of the future" : actuaries and the management of climate-related financial risk
Taylor, Nick - In: New political economy 28 (2023) 1, pp. 57-75
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Future energy : in search of a scenario reflecting current and future pressures and trends
Morris, Jennifer; Hone, David; Haigh, Martin; Paltsev, … - In: Environmental economics and policy studies : the … 25 (2023) 1, pp. 31-61
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Portfolio choice with path-dependent preferences
Kritzman, Mark; Li, Ding; Qiu, Grace; Turkington, David - 2020 - This version: May 21, 2020
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Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions
Cimadomo, Jacopo; Giannone, Domenico; Lenza, Michele; … - 2020
Monitoring economic conditions in real time, or nowcasting, is among the key tasks routinely performed by economists. Nowcasting entails some key challenges, which also characterise modern Big Data analytics, often referred to as the three "Vs": the large number of time series continuously...
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Institutional management elaboration through cognitive modeling of the balanced sustainable development of regional innovation systems
Firsova, Anna A.; Makarova, Elena L.; Tugusheva, Ryasimya R. - In: Journal of open innovation : technology, market, and … 6 (2020) 2/32, pp. 1-25
The main aim of this research was to search for relevant indicators and effective instruments for modeling the impact and institutional management of the regional innovation system for its balanced development. The objective of the study was to justify approaches for institutional management...
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Quantifying the economic impacts of COVID-19 policy responses on Canada's provinces in (almost) real time
Cotton, Christopher; Crowley, Brett; Kashi, Bahman; … - 2020
We develop a methodology to track and quantify the economic impacts of lock-down and re-opening policies by Canadian provinces in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, using data that is available with a relatively short time-lag. To do so, we adapt, calibrate and implement a dynamic,...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012286526
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Government bond rates and interest expenditure of large euro area member states : a scenario analysis
Grimm, Veronika; Nöh, Lukas; Wieland, Volker - 2022
This paper assesses the possible development of government interest expenditures as a share of GDP for Germany, France, Italy and Spain. Until 2021, these and other member states could anticipate a further reduction of interest expenditure in the future. This outlook has changed considerably...
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Transformationsszenarien der Agrar- und Ernährungswirtschaft in Nord-West-Niedersachsen (TRAIN)
Fink, Alexander; Grabkowsky, Barbara; … - 2022
Die Agrar- und Ernährungswirtschaft ist nach der Automobilindustrie der bedeutendste Wirtschaftszweig Niedersachsens. Sie sichert ein hohes Maß an sozialversicherungspflichtiger Beschäftigung, erzeugt Einkommen und ist von hoher gesellschaftlicher Relevanz. So findet sich in Niedersachsen...
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Strategies for climate neutrality : lessons from a meta-analysis of German energy scenarios
Wiese, Frauke; Thema, Johannes; Cordroch, Luisa - In: Renewable and sustainable energy transition 2 (2022), pp. 1-14
The ambition to reach climate-neutral energy systems requires profound energy transitions. Various scenario studies exist which present different options to reach that goal. In this paper, key strategies for the transition to climate neutrality in Germany are identified through a meta-analysis...
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Evaluation of the impact of green hydrogen blending scenarios in the Italian gas network : optimal design and dynamic simulation of operation strategies
Jin, Lingkang; Monforti Ferrario, Andrea; Cigolotti, Viviana - In: Renewable and sustainable energy transition 2 (2022), pp. 1-15
Blending hydrogen (H2) produced from PEM electrolysis coupled to Renewable Energy Sources (RES) in the existing Natural Gas (NG) network is a promising option for the deep decarbonization of the gas sector. However, blending H2 with NG significantly affects the thermophysical properties of the...
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Cyber resilience for business continuity in the financial system
Giannetto, Boris; Fazio, Antonino - 2022
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Assessing Financial Risks from Physical Climate Shocks : A Framework for Scenario Generation
Ranger, Nicola Ann - 2022
Climate change has become a main concern of ministries of finance, central banks, and financial regulators. In response, a suite of scenarios and tools have been developed tthe potential scale of climate risks and underprice investments in resilience. This is particularly important for emerging...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013209019
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Collaboration, decarbonization, and distributional effects
Mier, Mathias; Siala, Kais; Govorukha, Kristina; Mayer, … - 2022
We conduct a hybrid scenario exercise to analyze decarbonization pathways of the European power market and related distributional effects across countries as well as between consumers and producers. Our CIB analysis reveals qualitative scenarios that differ in the level of political (stringency...
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Reziliența strategică a Uniunii Europene, inclusiv în domeniile tehnologic și digital : scenarii de viitor și contribuții ale României
Cosmin Mihai, Ioan-Cosmin; Cîmpean, Petre-Dan; … - 2022
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Viitorul Uniunii Europene: riscuri și scenarii pentru 2030 : o uniune coezivă în fața provocărilor globale
Jora, Octavian-Dragomir; Dinga, Ene; Ionescu, … - 2022
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Taxation, infrastructure investment, growth, and poverty reduction : a case study of Zimbabwe
Lofgren, Hans; Cicowiez, Martín - 2022
In recent decades, Zimbabwe’s development record has been disappointing. In the last few years, a severe drought and the Covid-19 pandemic have added to the country’s development challenges. This paper is concerned with the long-run need to find a path toward faster growth in GDP,...
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Scenarios for different "future Indias" : sharpening energy and climate modelling tools
Spencer, Thomas; Dubash, Navroz K. - In: Climate policy 22 (2022) 1, pp. 30-47
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Büroimmobilien nach Corona - eine Szenarienanalyse : Studie im Auftrag von BERENBERG, Joh. Berenberg, Gossler & Co. KG
Eisfeld, Rupert K.; Heinemann, Ann-Kathrin; Just, Tobias; … - 2022
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Conceptualizing a new circular economy feature : storing renewable electricity in batteries beyond EV end-of-life : the case of Slovenia
Obrecht, Matevz; Singh, Rhythm; Zorman, Timitej - In: The international journal of productivity and … 71 (2022) 3, pp. 896-911
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The impact of carbon pricing in a multi-region production network model and an application to climate scenarios
Frankovic, Ivan - 2022
This paper builds on existing production network models to study the impact of global and sub-global carbon pricing. It uses the World Input-Output Database (WIOD) to calibrate intersectoral trade between seven regions and 56 economic sectors per region as well as EXIOBASE’s sectoral accounts...
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Methane reduction potential in the EU : between 2020 and 2030
Veen, Reinier van der; Vries, Maarten de; Pol, Jan van de; … - 2022
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Nachhaltigkeitsrisiken in Versicherungsunternehmen : regulatorische Entwicklungen, Szenarioanalysen und Stress-Tests
Kraft, Mirko - In: Zeitschrift für die gesamte Versicherungswissenschaft 111 (2022) 1, pp. 89-125
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Exploring changing food attitudes to respect planetary boundaries : a global, model-based analysis
Boysen-Urban, Kirsten; M'barek, Robert; Philippidis, George - Europäische Kommission / Gemeinsame Forschungsstelle - 2022
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After the new normal : scenarios for Europe in the post Covid-19 world : Foresight on Demand (FoD)
Cuhls, Kerstin; Rosa, Aaron; Weber, Karl Matthias; … - Europäische Kommission / Generaldirektion Forschung … - 2022
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Foresight kompetencji przyszłości
Dębkowska, Katarzyna; Glińska, Ewa; Kononiuk, Anna; … - 2022
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Evaluating mitigation strategies for urban heat island in Mandaue City using ENVI-met
Cortes, Aiza; Rejuso, Arnold Jesfel; Santos, Justine Ace; … - In: Journal of urban management 11 (2022) 1, pp. 97-106
Mandaue is a crucial city in Cebu island, Philippines as it links other large metropolises and is highly industrialized. The occurrence of urban heat island (UHI) in Mandaue was already confirmed by a previous study. In this paper, we aim to determine how UHI in Mandaue could be improved by...
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Interplay between competing and coexisting policy regimens within supply chain configurations
Srai, Jagjit Singh; Joglekar, Nitin; Tsolakis, Naoum; … - In: Production and operations management : the flagship … 31 (2022) 2, pp. 457-477
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Sustainability risk and portfolio management : a strategic scenario method for sustainable product development
Villamil, Carolina; Schulte, Jesko; Hallstedt, Sophie - In: Business strategy and the environment 31 (2022) 3, pp. 1042-1057
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Assessing Financial Risks from Physical Climate Shocks : A Framework for Scenario Generation
Mahul, Olivier; Monasterolo, Irene; Ranger, Nicola Ann - 2022
Climate change has become a main concern of ministries of finance, central banks, and financial regulators. In response, a suite of scenarios and tools have been developed tthe potential scale of climate risks and underprice investments in resilience. This is particularly important for emerging...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013255175
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A multi-parameter-level model for simulating future mortality scenarios with COVID-alike effects
Rui, Zhou; Li, Johnny Siu-Hang - In: Annals of actuarial science : publ. by the Institute of … 16 (2022) 3, pp. 453-477
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013469916
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Plausible scenarios for Thai sustainable energy in 2050 : cloud and clear
Weerin Wangjiraniran; Jakapong Pongthanaisawan; Nitida … - In: International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy : IJEEP 12 (2022) 4, pp. 357-367
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Drivers and Effects of Digitalisation on Energy Demand in Low Carbon Scenarios
Bergman, Noam; Foxon, Timothy J. - 2022
The world is currently facing two socio-technical transitions: shifting to a low-carbon society, and a digital revolution. Despite some claims to the contrary, evidence suggests that spread and adoption of ICT does not automatically lead to reduction in energy demand, if this stimulates new...
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Use of a Climate Change Scenario Analysis Tool to Anticipate Various Futures Associated with Extreme Urban Flooding
krantzberg, gail; Chen, Bruce; Sun, Rui; Li, Weijie; … - 2022
This paper reviews the connection and impacts of flooding related to climate change in Southern Ontario. The cased study used was the City of Hamilton and the $20 billion portfolios of assets managed by the City of Hamilton’s Public Works Department. The process involved the development of a...
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Net-zero emissions : main technological, geopolitical, and economic consequences of the new energy scenario
Ruffini, Alessandra; Salerno, Andrea; Simões, Francisco - 2022
This paper discusses possible technical, economical and geopolitical consequences of the new energy scenario. We analyze the net zero emissions global race with an emphasis on the role renewable energies will play in this phenomenon and COP26’s recent decisions on climate and energy...
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Cobalt Demand for Automotive Electrification in China : Scenario Analysis Based on the Bass Model
Sun, Xiaoqi; Shi, Qing - 2022
Cobalt demand for automotive electrification is a critical issue in China. This study aims to project the annual cobalt demand from 2021—2030 and examine the responses of annual cobalt demand to variations in electric vehicle sales, battery capacity factors, and cobalt substitution effects,...
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Incorporating Scenario Analysis into the Federal Reserve's Policy Strategy and Communications
Bordo, Michael D.; Levin, Andrew T.; Levy, Mickey D. - 2022
The U.S. economy currently faces a truly extraordinary degree of uncertainty as a consequence of the COVID-19 pandemic. In these circumstances, the Federal Reserve could begin highlighting alternative scenarios to illustrate key risks to the economic outlook, and such scenarios could inform the...
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A modelling framework for projections of equity portfolio returns under climate transition scenarios
Prosperi, Lorenzo; Zanin, Luca - 2022
Investors have a growing awareness that climate transition risks (such as carbon pricing policy) are among the new risk drivers of the financial system. One of the relevant implications of a shock in carbon price is the increase in business costs, which may diminish profitability and affect...
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The Impact of Carbon Pricing in a Multi-Region Production Network Model and an Application to Climate Scenarios
Frankovic, Ivan - 2022
This paper builds on existing production network models to study the impact of global and sub-global carbon pricing. It uses the World Input-Output Database (WIOD) to calibrate intersectoral trade between seven regions and 56 economic sectors per region as well as EXIOBASE's sectoral accounts of...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013294815
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Tail-GAN : Nonparametric Scenario Generation for Tail Risk Estimation
Cont, Rama; Cucuringu, Mihai; Zhang, Chao; Xu, Renyuan - 2022
The estimation of loss distributions for dynamic portfolios requires the simulation of scenarios representing realistic joint dynamics of their components, with particular importance devoted to the simulation of tail risk scenarios. Commonly used parametric models have been successful in...
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Land Loss Implications of Sea Level Rise Along the Coastline of Colombia Under Different Climate Change Scenarios
Nevermann, Hannes; Gomez, Jorge Nicolas Becerra; … - 2022
The sea level has risen notably in recent decades compared to the most recent millennia. This poses serious threats to infrastructure, local jobs, environment and human population over the next century especially in coastal zones. In this paper, the most up-to-date understanding of the climate...
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Scenario Analysis with the DD-PD Mapping Approach : Stock Market Shocks and U.S. Corporate Default Risk
Chan-Lau, Jorge A. - 2022
This paper introduces the quantile regression- based Distance-to-Default to Probability of Default (DD-PD) mapping, which links individual firms’ DD to their real world PD. Since changes in the DD depend on a handful of parameters, the mapping easily accommodates shocks arising from...
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Development of Chemical Emission Scenarios Using the Shared Socio-Economic Pathways
Nagesh, Poornima; de Boer, Hugo J.; van Wezel, Annemarie P. - 2022
The widespread use of chemicals has led to significant water quality concerns, and their use is still increasing. Hence, there is an urgent need to understand the possible future trends in chemical emissions to water systems. This paper proposes a general framework for developing emission...
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