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Year of publication
Subject
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Speculation 3,880 Spekulation 3,621 Theorie 1,420 Theory 1,413 Börsenkurs 669 Share price 667 USA 538 Anlageverhalten 512 United States 510 Behavioural finance 499 Bubbles 487 Spekulationsblase 483 speculation 406 Welt 402 World 394 Volatilität 352 Volatility 346 Finanzkrise 342 Financial crisis 337 Financial market 283 Finanzmarkt 283 Rohstoffderivat 268 Commodity derivative 266 Derivat 257 Derivative 256 Aktienmarkt 248 Kapitaleinkommen 241 Schätzung 239 Capital income 237 Estimation 230 Stock market 229 Hedging 222 Portfolio selection 196 Portfolio-Management 196 Wertpapierhandel 187 Securities trading 181 Börsenspekulation 170 Finanzanalyse 161 Warenbörse 158 Commodity exchange 152
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Online availability
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Free 1,355 Undetermined 597
Type of publication
All
Book / Working Paper 2,641 Article 1,765 Other 1
Type of publication (narrower categories)
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Article in journal 1,395 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 1,395 Working Paper 765 Graue Literatur 759 Non-commercial literature 759 Arbeitspapier 698 Aufsatz im Buch 201 Book section 201 Hochschulschrift 129 Thesis 116 Ratgeber 53 Collection of articles of several authors 46 Sammelwerk 46 Guidebook 43 Bibliografie enthalten 34 Bibliography included 34 Collection of articles written by one author 32 Sammlung 32 Aufsatzsammlung 19 Glossar enthalten 18 Glossary included 18 Bibliographie 16 Lehrbuch 16 Textbook 15 Biografie 14 Handbook 11 Handbuch 11 Systematic review 11 Übersichtsarbeit 11 Biography 10 Erlebnisbericht 10 Konferenzschrift 10 Article 9 Interview 9 Amtsdruckschrift 8 Government document 8 Rezension 8 Reprint 7 Bibliografie 6 Case study 6
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Language
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English 3,557 German 393 Undetermined 354 French 63 Italian 13 Spanish 13 Portuguese 10 Czech 2 Hungarian 2 Dutch 2 Norwegian 2 Polish 2 Russian 2 Serbian 1 Swedish 1 Ukrainian 1
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Author
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Pies, Ingo 57 Schulmeister, Stephan 30 Westerhoff, Frank H. 24 Xiong, Wei 23 Glauben, Thomas 21 Irwin, Scott H. 21 Will, Matthias Georg 21 Meier, Martin 20 Lux, Thomas 19 Manera, Matteo 19 Prehn, Sören 19 Simsek, Alp 17 Bohl, Martin T. 16 Chiarella, Carl 16 Shiller, Robert J. 16 Dieci, Roberto 15 Nicolini, Marcella 15 Röthig, Andreas 15 Fernando, Chitru S. 14 Scheinkman, José Alexandre 14 Grossman, Herschel I. 13 Hong, Harrison G. 13 Schipper, Burkhard 13 Brooks, Chris 12 Cifarelli, Giulio 12 McAleer, Michael 12 Obstfeld, Maurice 12 Renneboog, Luc 12 Vignati, Ilaria 12 Barlevy, Gadi 11 Buyuksahin, Bahattin 11 Caballero, Ricardo J. 11 Goldstein, Itay 11 Roehner, Bertrand M. 11 Barillas, Francisco 10 Garratt, Rod 10 Heifetz, Aviad 10 Kilian, Lutz 10 Sanders, Dwight R. 10 Sornette, Didier 10
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Institution
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National Bureau of Economic Research 69 Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München 22 C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 13 HAL 12 Université Paris-Dauphine (Paris IX) 11 FinanzBuch Verlag 7 Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (WIFO) 7 EconWPA 6 Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University 5 Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago 5 Agricultural and Applied Economics Association - AAEA 4 Börsen-Buchverlag 4 Centre for Economic Policy Research 4 Department of Economics, University of Utah 4 European University Institute / Department of Economics 4 Levy Economics Institute 4 Society for Computational Economics - SCE 4 Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR) 3 Chambre de commerce et d'industrie de Paris 3 Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa, Università degli Studi di Firenze 3 Econometric Society 3 Economic Research Service, Department of Agriculture 3 European Central Bank 3 Finance Discipline Group, Business School 3 Graduate School of Business, Columbia University 3 Bank für Internationalen Zahlungsausgleich / Währungs- und Wirtschaftsabteilung 2 CER-ETH Center of Economic Research, Department of Management, Technology and Economics (D-MTEC) 2 Caisse des Depots et Consignations - Cahiers de recherche 2 Centre d'études prospectives et d'informations internationales (CEPII) 2 Centre for International Economic Studies 2 Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics <Columbus, Ohio> 2 Department of Economics and Finance, College of Business and Economics 2 Department of Economics, Oxford University 2 Department of Economics, School of Arts and Sciences 2 Deutsche Bank Research 2 Economics Department, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) 2 Fachbereich Rechts- und Wirtschaftswissenschaften, Technische Universität Darmstadt 2 Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Universidad Complutense de Madrid 2 Federal Reserve Bank of New York 2 Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco / Center for Pacific Basin Monetary and Economic Studies 2
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Published in...
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NBER working paper series 69 Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. 64 The journal of finance : the journal of the American Finance Association 45 NBER Working Paper 38 Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research 37 Diskussionspapier / Lehrstuhl für Wirtschaftsethik, Martin-Luther-Universität Halle-Wittenberg 37 The journal of futures markets 37 Wiley trading series 36 The review of financial studies 31 Research paper series / Swiss Finance Institute 25 Energy economics 24 Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO 23 Journal of banking & finance 22 MPRA Paper 21 Journal of financial economics 20 International review of financial analysis 19 Journal of international money and finance 19 Journal of economic dynamics & control 18 Journal of financial and quantitative analysis : JFQA 18 Diskussionspapier 15 Economic modelling 15 Journal of economic theory 15 Economics letters 14 Management science : journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences 14 WIFO Working Papers 14 CEPR Discussion Papers 13 Discussion paper / Center for Economic Research, Tilburg University 13 Applied economics letters 12 The quarterly review of economics and finance : journal of the Midwest Economics Association ; journal of the Midwest Finance Association 12 Wiley trading 12 Working Paper 12 Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute 11 Economics Papers from University Paris Dauphine 11 The quarterly journal of economics 11 Wiley Trading Ser 11 Working paper 11 Applied economics 10 Econometrica : journal of the Econometric Society, an internat. society for the advancement of economic theory in its relation to statistics and mathematics 10 Economic theory : official journal of the Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory 10 Finance research letters 10
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Source
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ECONIS (ZBW) 3,731 RePEc 385 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 195 EconStor 78 BASE 10 USB Cologne (business full texts) 8
Showing 1 - 50 of 4,407
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Compulsive gambling in the stock market : evidence from an emerging market
Atcha Kamolsareeratana; Kouwenberg, Roy - In: Economies : open access journal 11 (2023) 1, pp. 1-25
During the COVID-19 pandemic, many new individual investors globally entered the stock markets, often pursuing speculative investment strategies that resemble gambling. A concern is that trading as a form of gambling can become addictive for some people, as documented by several recent studies...
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Perishable goods versus re-tradable assets : a theoretical reappraisal of a fundamental dichotomy
Inoua, Sabiou M.; Smith, Vernon L. - 2022
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A weekly structural VAR model of the US crude oil market
Valenti, Daniele; Bastianin, Andrea; Manera, Matteo - 2022
We present a weekly structural Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model of the US crude oil market. Exploiting weekly data we can explain short-run crude oil price dynamics, including those related with the COVID-19 pandemic and with the Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The model is set identified with a...
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Issues in Islamic derivatives and proposals for reforms in the OTC market in Indonesia
Setiawan, Romi Adetio - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 15 (2022) 5, pp. 1-16
This paper aims to propose reforms to develop the Islamic derivatives transactions in Indonesia's over-the-counter (OTC) market. It is argued that the use of derivatives instruments is considered non-sharia compliant by the National Sharia Board (NSB) of the Indonesian Council of Ulama. However,...
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Fundamental disagreement about monetary policy and the term structure of interest rates
Cao, Shuo; Crump, Richard K.; Eusepi, Stefano; Mönch, … - 2021 - Revised August 2021
Using a unique data set of individual professional forecasts, we document disagreement about the future path of monetary policy, particularly at longer horizons. The stark differences in short rate forecasts imply strong disagreement about the risk-return trade-off of longer-term bonds....
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Arthur Cecil Pigou on speculation : a Marshallian analysis of institutions and economic welfare
Stevens, Riko - 2021
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A classical model of speculative asset price dynamics
Inoua, Sabiou M.; Smith, Vernon L. - 2021
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Fair economic return : restoring equity to the social fabric of New Zealand
Saint John, Susan; Baucher, Terry - 2021
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How speculative asset characteristics shape retail investors' selling behavior
Bernard, Sabine Esther; Weber, Martin; Loos, Benjamin - 2023
Using German and US brokerage data we find that investors are more likely to sell speculative stocks trading at a gain. Investors' gain realizations are monotonically increasing in a stock's speculativeness. This translates into a high disposition effect for speculative and a much lower...
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How speculative asset characteristics shape retail investors' selling behavior
Bernard, Sabine Esther; Weber, Martin; Loos, Benjamin - 2023
Using German and US brokerage data we find that investors are more likely to sell speculative stocks trading at a gain. Investors' gain realizations are monotonically increasing in a stock's speculativeness. This translates into a high disposition effect for speculative and a much lower...
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Speculative trading, prospect theory and transaction costs
Tse, Alex S. L.; Zheng, Harry - In: Finance and stochastics 27 (2023) 1, pp. 49-96
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Direct effect of TC on the LME copper prices
Lim, Byungkwon; Kim, Hyeon Sook; Park, Jaehwan - In: Economies : open access journal 8 (2020) 2/36, pp. 1-9
The motivation of this paper is to identify the effect of treatment charge (TC) on LME (London Metal Exchange) copper prices. It is a fundamental variable as a supply side factor, because it is related to the smelting process and reflects the level of concentrates market tightness. To examine...
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Cardim de Carvalho's contribution to the understanding of decision making in contemporaneous financial markets
Farhi, Maryse; Prates, Daniela Magalhães - In: Revista de economia contemporânea : publication of the … 24 (2020) 2, pp. 1-25
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Nonspeculative bubbles revisited : speculation does matter
Tucker, Steven James; Xu, Yilong - 2020
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Randomized double auctions : gains from trade, trader roles, and price discovery
Sherstyuk, Katerina; Krit Phankitnirundorn; Roberts, … - 2020
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Hunger durch Agrarspekulation? Lessons (not) learned
Pies, Ingo - 2022
Aus der wirtschaftsethischen Perspektive des ordonomischen Forschungsprogramms leistet dieser Artikel drei Beiträge zur aktuellen Debatte um zivilgesellschaftliche Vorwürfen, dass die Terminmarktgeschäfte von Agrarspekulanten Hungerkrisen hervorbringen oder verschärfen. Erstens erläutert er...
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A weekly structural VAR model of the US crude oil market
Valenti, Daniele; Bastianin, Andrea; Manera, Matteo - 2022
We present a weekly structural Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model of the US crude oil market. Exploiting weekly data we can explain short-run crude oil price dynamics, including those related with the COVID-19 pandemic and with the Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The model is set identified with...
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Wie (un)moralisch ist Agrarspekulation?
Pies, Ingo - 2022
Aus der wirtschaftsethischen Perspektive des ordonomischen Forschungsprogramms leistet dieser Artikel drei Beiträge zur aktuellen Debatte um zivilgesellschaftliche Vorwürfen, dass die Terminmarktgeschäfte von Agrarspekulanten Hungerkrisen hervorbringen oder verschärfen. Erstens erläutert er...
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Long-short speculator sentiment in agricultural commodity markets
Borgards, Oliver; Czudaj, Robert - 2022
This paper tests the hypothesis that long-short speculators are able to generate short-term investment returns based on their sentiment for twelve agricultural commodity futures. For this purpose, we dynamically model the equidirectional trading of long and short commodity futures of long-short...
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Hunger durch Agrarspekulation? : lessons (not) learned
Pies, Ingo - 2022
Aus der wirtschaftsethischen Perspektive des ordonomischen Forschungsprogramms leistet dieser Artikel drei Beiträge zur aktuellen Debatte um zivilgesellschaftliche Vorwürfen, dass die Terminmarktgeschäfte von Agrarspekulanten Hungerkrisen hervorbringen oder verschärfen. Erstens erläutert er...
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Are there bubbles in the vanilla price?
Khan, Khalid; Su, Chi-Wei; Khurshid, Adnan; Umar, Muhammad - In: Agricultural and Food Economics : AFE 10 (2022), pp. 1-16
This paper investigates the presence of the bubbles that are experienced in the global vanilla (VNL) price, using the GSADF approach. The results show that there are five bubbles in the VNL price that are driven by specific reasons. Also, in this regard, the opening and ending points of each...
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Learning about latent dynamic trading demand
Chen, Xiao; Choi, Jin Hyuk; Larsen, Kasper; Seppi, Duane J. - In: Mathematics and financial economics 16 (2022) 4, pp. 615-658
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Louis Bachelier's Théorie de la speculation : the missing piece in Walras' general equilibrium
El Karoui, Nicole; Parent, Antoine; Pradier, Pierre-Charles - 2022
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The Role of Hedgers and Speculators in the Currency Futures Markets
Yoon, Jungah; Ruan, Xinfeng; Zhang, Jin E. - 2022
Kang et al. (2020) find cross-sectional evidence that short- and long-term variation of position changes are driven by liquidity demand of noncommercials and hedging demands of commercials in commodity futures markets. In this paper, we find the commercials' hedging demands drive both short-term...
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Shift in House Price Estimates during COVID-19 Reveals Effect of Crisis on Collective Speculation
Petersen, Alexander Michael - 2022
We exploit a timely city-level panel of individual house price estimates for both small and big real-estate markets in California USA to estimate the impact of COVID-19 on the housing market. Descriptive analysis of spot house price estimates, including contemporaneous price uncertainty and...
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Applying an Endogenized PID Controller Design to Speculative Bubble Formation
Paine, James - 2022
Speculative bubble formation has been a feature of markets for nearly 400 years, and continues to be a major focus of economic, marketing, and operations management research. While these bubbles may form because of specific physical or informational features of the markets in which they occur,...
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Housing Speculation and Entrepreneurship
Tian, Xuan; Wang, Yichu - 2022
We document a speculation channel through which house market booms negatively affect entrepreneurship, using unique longitudinal individual-level data. To address endogeneity concerns, we exploit plausibly exogenous variation in house prices generated by staggered and unintended policy...
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Financial intermediaries and speculation in the foreign exchange market : the role of monetary policy in Iran’s economy
Sadeghi, Abdorasoul; Marzban, Hussein; Samadi, Ali Hussein - In: Journal of economic structures : JES; the official … 11 (2022), pp. 1-26
Given the high fluctuations of the general price level, the importance of investment, and accessing sufficient financial resources, we examine the effects of monetary policy on the nominal (Inflation) and real (Investment) sectors of a developing economy, like Iran, through the channel of the...
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Speculation sentiment
Davies, Shaun William - In: Journal of financial and quantitative analysis : JFQA 57 (2022) 7, pp. 2485-2515
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Object-oriented marketing theory
Franco, Paolo; Canniford, Robin; Phipps, Marcus - In: Marketing theory 22 (2022) 3, pp. 401-420
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Fan Tokens : Sports and Speculation on the Blockchain
Scharnowski, Matthias; Scharnowski, Stefan; Zimmermann, … - 2022
This paper provides an economic analysis of fan tokens, which are collectible utility tokens issued by sports clubs. We document that fan token prices are highly volatile and substantially riskier than those of established cryptocurrencies. For a subset of publicly listed clubs, we find that...
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Cryptocurrency : Speculative Asset and Medium of Exchange
Pernice, Ingolf Gunnar Anton; Almosova, Anna; Elendner, … - 2022
Most models derive current cryptocurrency prices over rational expectations of future ones. We complement this perspective with a backward-looking view accounting for herding and momentum trading observed in cryptocurrency markets. Our approach merges an asset-flow approach modeling rational and...
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Speculation and Liquidity in Stock and Corporate Bond Markets
Pasquariello, Paolo; Sandulescu, Mirela - 2022
Canonical theories of trading assume that financial asset payoffs are linear in their fundamentals.This study argues that the nonlinearity of equity and corporate bond payoffs (by virtue of their issuer’s solvency) has novel, important effects on their price formation. We show that informed...
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Speculative bubbles and herding in cryptocurrencies
Haykir, Ozkan; Yagli, Ibrahim - In: Financial innovation : FIN 8 (2022), pp. 1-33
This study investigates speculative bubbles in the cryptocurrency market and factors affecting bubbles during the COVID-19 pandemic. Our results indicate that each cryptocurrency covered in the study presented bubbles. Moreover, we found that explosive behavior in one currency leads to...
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Speculative trading and bubbles : evidence from the art market
Pénasse, Julien; Renneboog, Luc - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 68 (2022) 7, pp. 4939-4963
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Glücksspiel oder ökonomisches Werturteil mit Folgen?
Schroeter, Felix - In: Jahrbuch für Wirtschaftsgeschichte 63 (2022) 1, pp. 135-168
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Cross-market Spillovers of Real Estate Speculation
Hu, Maggie; Wan, Wayne Xinwei; Xu, Ke - 2022
This study examines the externality of anti-speculation policies and its impact on property market volatility. Employing a rich dataset on property transactions in Hong Kong from 1991 to 2020, we find that, given regulations for flippers in the presale residential property market only, the...
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Wie (un)moralisch ist Agrarspekulation?
Pies, Ingo - 2022
Aus der wirtschaftsethischen Perspektive des ordonomischen Forschungsprogramms leistet dieser Artikel drei Beiträge zur aktuellen Debatte um zivilgesellschaftliche Vorwürfen, dass die Terminmarktgeschäfte von Agrarspekulanten Hungerkrisen hervorbringen oder verschärfen. Erstens erläutert er...
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On speculative frenzies and stabilization policy
Barlevy, Gadi - 2022
This paper examines whether tasking central banks with leaning against asset booms can conáict with their existing mandates to stabilize goods prices and output. The paper embeds the Harrison and Kreps (1978) model of speculative booms in a monetary model based on Rocheteau, Weill, and Wong...
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Bear Beta or Speculative Beta?—Reconciling the Evidence on Downside Risk Premium
Wang, Tong - 2022
This paper develops a new approach to explain why risk factors constructed from option returns are priced in the stock market. We decompose an option- based factor into three main components and identify the one responsible for the beta-return relationship. Applying this method to the bear risk...
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Informational Feedback between Voting and Speculative Trading
Bo, Wang; Zhou, Zhen - 2022
This paper develops a model to investigate the interaction between collective decision-making in voting and financial speculation. Protesting voters demand policy reforms by voting against the incumbent, but too many opposing votes result in an unfavorable outcome --- political regime change....
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Risk transmissions between sectoral Islamic and conventional stock markets during COVID-19 pandemic : what matters more between actual COVID-19 occurrence and speculative and senti...
Adekoya, Oluwasegun B.; Oliyide, Johnson A.; Tiwari, … - In: Borsa Istanbul Review 22 (2022) 2, pp. 363-376
Being the health pandemic with the highest impact on the global financial market, the recent COVID-19 pandemic has led to significant risk transmissions across stock markets. Although an increasing number of studies have examined the effects of the pandemic on financial markets, we provide novel...
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Effects of intervention policies on speculation in housing market : evidence from China
Chen, Zhenxi; Wang, Cuntong - In: Journal of management science and engineering 7 (2022) 2, pp. 233-242
The real estate market in China is often subject to government intervention while it is widely believed that speculation is one of the driving forces for the dramatic increase in house price. By controlling macroeconomic factors, we detect two types of speculative traders, fundamentalists and...
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SPACs : Spectacular Investments or Speculative Bets? Analysis of the Post-Merger Common Stock Performance of the 'SPAC Frenzy' in 2020
Bruck, Ofek - 2022
Special Purpose Acquisition Companies (SPACs) have been on an unprecedented rise. Nevertheless, previous literature regarding SPACs has consistently shown dramatic underperformance. This study analyzes the common share price performance of sixty-four completed SPAC mergers (deSPACs) and...
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Strategic sophistication and trading profits : an experiment with professional traders
Angrisani, Marco; Cipriani, Marco; Guarino, Antonio - 2022
We run an experiment where professional traders, endowed with private information, trade an asset over multiple periods. After the trading game, we gather information about the professional traders' characteristics by having them carry out a series of tasks. We study which of these...
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Market Risk and Speculation Factors
Ghazi, Soroush; Schneider, Mark - 2022
We decompose the excess market return into speculation and non-speculation components. The former is negative and predicted by market sentiment. The latter is positive and not predicted by sentiment. The speculation component explains roughly 30% of the variation in the excess market return. In...
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Behavioural aspects of China's P2P lending
Shao, Shuai; Bo, Hong - In: The European journal of finance 28 (2022) 1, pp. 30-45
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Tobin Tax Policy, Housing Speculation, and Property Market Dynamics
Agarwal, Sumit; Chau, K.W; Hu, Maggie; Wan, Wayne Xinwei - 2022
Hong Kong introduced a Tobin property tax—the Special Stamp Duty (SSD) Policy—in 2010, which substantially increased the selling costs of short-term property holders. This study examines the effectiveness of this Tobin property tax in curbing speculation and cooling down the market. We find...
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Economic Consequences of Housing Speculation
Gao, Zhenyu; Sockin, Michael; Xiong, Wei - 2022
By exploiting variation in state capital gains taxation as an instrument, we analyze the economic consequences of housing speculation during the U.S. housing boom in the 2000s. We find that housing speculation, anchored, in part, on extrapolation of past housing price changes, led not only to...
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Speculation or hedging? : options trading prior to FOMC announcements
Jiang, George J.; Pan, Guanzhong - In: The journal of futures markets 42 (2022) 2, pp. 212-230
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