The question of who ultimately bears the burden of corporate income tax is central to tax policy, with implications for both fairness and efficiency. Previous evidence for Germany suggested that workers absorb a large share through lower wages, raising concerns about the distributional...

The question of who ultimately bears the burden of corporate income tax is central to tax policy, with implications for both fairness and efficiency. Previous evidence for Germany suggested that workers absorb a large share through lower wages, raising concerns about the distributional...

The paper estimates the ICMS (a kind of value-added tax at the state level) incidence on a basket of 79 food products from 1994 to 2021 in the Brazilian states of Bahia, Rio de Janeiro, Minas Gerais and São Paulo.We use panel data estimators to evaluate the pass-through of the ICMS to consumer...

We provide novel evidence on the incidence of business taxes using comprehensive survey and experimental data from German firms. Leveraging randomized variation in hypothetical tax changes, we find that the incidence of profit taxes is highly asymmetric. Tax decreases are more likely to benefit...

This paper contributes to the ongoing discourse on the taxation of top-income earners by empirically investigating the impact of tax policy changes on pay without performance. Using data on executive compensation in the United States, I compare the sensitivity of executive compensation to...

Sin taxes are increasingly being used to discourage the consumption of goods perceived to harm individuals and society. This paper examines the impact of South Africa's Health Promotion Levy (HPL)-the first sugar tax implemented in Africa-on the consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) in...

As middle income countries grow they see an increase in demand for energy. To avoid extreme climate change as these countries develop, there will be a need to decarbonise the increased energy consumption as they grow. We use the PRICES microsimulation model to examine the impact of carbon...

This paper presents novel estimates of the incidence of corporate taxes by measuring the effect of local business taxes on the welfare of commercial landowners, residential landowners, firm owners, and workers. We use unique data on real estate prices in Germany covering over 32 million...

This study examines the interplay between corporate tax avoidance and the incidence of the corporate income tax falling on wages and employment. Using the German Business Tax Reform 2008 (GBTR 2008) as a natural experiment, we investigate how a large tax cut of about nine percentage points...

In the National Football League, teams have been subjected to a salary cap, which has prevented teams from paying players in aggregate over a specified value since 1994. The presence of the salary cap provides a unique setting for understanding how tax rates affect the competitiveness of teams....

This paper examines the potential distributional effects of a tax increase on processed and ultra-processed foods. Using data from the most recent Brazilian consumption survey (POF 2017/2018), it analyzes the welfare changes that households would experience when facing increased costs for these...

We investigate the welfare implications of property taxation. We apply a sufficient statistics approach that accounts for the distributional effects of tax changes at the household level within a spatial equilibrium framework. We show that equity effects are driven by price adjustments in the...

The past 14 years have witnessed an enormous amount of reform to the tax and benefit system. While it is tempting for politicians to draw attention to one set of reforms or another, what matters for household incomes is the whole system. In this report, we study the impact of policy changes to...

While Tanzania's greenhouse gas emission levels still seem low by international comparison, the country is rapidly carbonizing, and most households still rely on kerosene, charcoal, and firewood for cooking and lighting. Carbon pricing can be an effective tool to discourage the creation of high...

The tax incidence is central to the effectiveness of taxation. In this paper, I examine the pass-through rate of an air passenger tax to airfares. Additionally, I analyse its impact on passenger numbers, air transport capacity, and the interaction with supply and demand elasticity. For...

This paper examines the distributional effects of fiscal policy in Grenada. Using data from the 2017-2018 Living Conditions and Household Budgets Survey and following the Commitment to Equity (CEQ) analysis framework, we estimate the effects of fiscal policy interventions on inequality and...

In this paper we evaluate the distributional impact of carbon pricing in Ireland via a number of different measures, Excise Duties, Carbon Taxes and the EU Emissions Trading Scheme, utilising information contained in the OECD Effective Carbon Rate (ECR) database together with the PRICES model....

Purpose This study aims to estimate the pass-through rate of the increases in the excise tax and TCF tax on tobacco in Vietnam. This study seeks to shed light on how the tax burden is split between consumers and producers and inform policy discussions in the country. Using panel micro-level data...

Many countries are currently debating whether to reduce or eliminate taxes on feminine hygiene products as a measure to address “period poverty” and promote gender equality. Legislators often reject proposals involving reforms of “tampon taxes” as the pass-through of sales taxes into...

This paper develops a machine-learning method that allows researchers to estimate heterogeneous treatment effects with panel data in a setting with many covariates. Our method, which we name the dynamic causal forest (DCF) method, extends the causal-forest method of Wager and Athey (2018) by...

This paper investigates the extent of property tax capitalization in the context of a progressive property tax pilot in Shanghai. I utilize a difference-in-differences approach by comparing neighborhoods with different tax rates before and after the implementation of the property taxes....

Excise tax could affect profits if consumption declines as a result of higher prices or if firms cannot pass the tax burden onto consumers. Both produce unstable earnings growth, which is an incentive to manage earnings, particularly among listed firms. This paper explores 3 different goods with...

Economic models assume that payroll tax burdens fall fully on workers, but where does tax incidence fall when taxes are firm-specific and time-varying? Unemployment insurance in the United States has the key feature of varying both across employers and over time, creating the potential for labor...

In recent decades, market power has increased substantially, according to multiple measures that describe industry concentration, mark-ups, and business profitability. While market power can generate benefits, it also raises vexing policy concerns, including the potential for adverse effects on...