Hot money flows refer to short-term foreign currencies entering the country's economies through short-term loans and portfolio investments. The purpose of the study is to determine the impact of hot money flows in Turkey on stock exchange index, exchange rates and interest rates. For this...

Hot money flows refer to short-term foreign currencies entering the country's economies through short-term loans and portfolio investments. The purpose of the study is to determine the impact of hot money flows in Turkey on stock exchange index, exchange rates and interest rates. For this...

This 2013 Article IV Consultation highlights Sweden’s economic growth and policies. Sweden’s economy appears to be slowing together with its main Nordic and European trading partners. The IMF report discusses that there is a scope to improve the fiscal framework, by ensuring it...

This staff report on People’s Republic of China 2013 Article IV Consultation highlights macroeconomic developments and outlook. China has maintained robust growth since the global crisis, but the heavy reliance on credit and investment to sustain activity is raising vulnerabilities. The...

The problematic of stocks and stock exchanges is one of the most complicated areas of enterprise in the world of financial and monetary politic. In the contribution there is evaluated mutual development of major stock market indexes on Polish Stock Exchange (WIG), Hungarian Stock Exchange (BUX)...

Real estate investment accounts for a quarter of total fixed asset investment (FAI) in China. The real estate sector’s extensive industrial and financial linkages make it a special type of economic activity, especially where the credit creation process relies primarily on collateral, like...

This report summarizes the findings of the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) Update for Spain. Although there is a core of strong banks that are well managed and appear resilient to further shocks, vulnerabilities remain. Substantial progress has been made in reforming the former...

The IMF staff report on Mexico’s financial policies has been satisfactory; these policies have been said to act as a buffer against risks that erupted during the global economic crisis. Mexico has been identified as a prudent and fairly well-managed economy. However, the issues that would...

Sweden’s recovery from the global crisis was swift reflecting its strong position at the onset of the crisis. The 2012 Article IV Consultation reports that the economic outlook remains clouded. Executive Directors have commended Sweden’s sustained strong macroeconomic performance,...

Using newly-constructed data covering the last decade, we document that, in most of forty markets, when added to the main index, firms’ returns experience an increase in comovement with the rest of the index, reflected in higher beta and greater explanatory power of the market return....

In this study, China’s economic developments and policies are discussed. Economic growth has been increased by expanding infrastructure and real estate construction. The policy measures outlined in the twelfth five-year plan and implementation of financial reform are important for...

We analyze daily quotes of the BUX index, main index of the Budapest stock exchange, for period 2nd Jan. 1991–30th Sept. 2008, checking nonstationarity of series, stationarity of returns, applying the ARCH tests to the series. This period was not without its perils for the Hungarian economy....

One specific way in which firms can make use of financial markets is to list the firm on a public exchange, allowing many types of investors the opportunity to purchase a share of the ownership of the firm, and permitting the firm to source capital at the lowest available cost for investment in...

The staff report on Mexico’s 2008 Article IV Consultation focuses on economic and financial sector implications of the global crisis. Inflation has been anchored in a low range, and public and private balance sheets have been substantially strengthened. Most importantly, public external...

This 2008 Article IV Consultation highlights that the economy of Estonia is now experiencing its most severe recession since the early 1990s. The financial sector has withstood the global financial turbulence well so far, but risks remain significant. Executive Directors have commended the...

The fundamental goal of this approach is the random walk hypothesis. This paper tests the random walk hypothesis for BET Index of the Bucharest Stock Exchange and the implications of this assumption. The random walk model of stock prices generates several important implications for practitioners.

This article focuses on volatility modeling from a stochastic perspective, taking into consideration its variations in time, with the purpose of accomplishing a better estimation of future assets profitability. The stability in time of an evolution law describing volatility, as a precision tool,...

Similar to other emerging economies, the Egyptian stock market has recently experienced a remarkable run-up but also a major downturn. This paper analyzes the stock market from two angles. First, it compares the performance of the major stock price index with its underlying fundamentals. Second,...

Small emerging economies, despite their significant growth, lack the scale to develop thriving capital markets from their local investor and issuer base that are able to deliver the benefits of a large, mature market. Slovenia is such an example. Despite the necessary infrastructure in place,...

The paper examines the scope for cross-border spillovers among major EU banks using information contained in the stock prices and financial statements of these banks. The results suggest that spillovers within domestic banking systems generally remain more likely, but the number of significant...

The Republic of Estonia’s 2007 Article IV Consultation reports that surging domestic demand has widened the external current account deficit and pushed the economy against capacity constraints. Wage increases have begun to erode competitiveness and kept inflation above the Maastricht...

This technical note provides an overview of Mexico’s derivatives markets, and describes concisely the derivatives regulatory framework and risk management practices in financial institutions active in these markets. The most important derivatives market in Mexico is the over-the-counter...

This paper discusses key findings of the Second Review Under the Stand-By Arrangement for Peru. The economy continued to perform well in 2004. Real GDP grew by 5.1 percent, inflation was 3.5 percent at end-December, and the fiscal deficit of the combined public sector narrowed to 1.1 percent of...

This 2004 Article IV Consultation highlights that economic activity has been gathering speed in Estonia. Year-over-year growth accelerated to 6.8 percent in 2004 Q1 from 5.8 percent in 2003 Q1, driven by domestic demand and supported by technology sector exports. Inflation accelerated in the...

We examine the short- and long-run effects of financial liberalization on capital markets. To do so, we construct a new comprehensive chronology of financial liberalization in 28 mature and emerging market economies since 1973. We also construct an algorithm to identify booms and busts in stock...

Using realized volatility to estimate conditional variance of financial returns, we compare forecasts of volatility from linear GARCH models with asymmetric ones. We consider horizons extending to 30 days. Forecasts are compared using three different evaluation tests. With data from an equity...

Magistriniame darbe susipažinta su akcijų kainų indeksais, jų paskirtimi, skaičiavimo būdais bei metodika. Pasirinkta plačiau išnagrinėti keturis kapitalizacijos tipo indeksus: CAC 40 (Prancūzija), DAX 30 (Vokietija), S&P 500 (JAV) ir OMXBBGI (Baltijos Šalys). Pirmojoje darbo dalyje...

The problematic of stocks and stock exchanges is one of the most complicated areas of enterprise in the world of financial and monetary politic. In the contribution there is evaluated mutual development of major stock market indexes on Polish Stock Exchange (WIG), Hungarian Stock Exchange (BUX)...

This paper is trying to unveil general statistical characteristic of financial; time series data that is subjected to several financial time series data present in Indonesia, e.g. individual index such as stock price of PT. TELKOM, stock price of PT HM SAMPOERNA, and compiled stock price index...