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Year of publication
Subject
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Szenariotechnik 2,301 Scenario analysis 2,259 USA 425 United States 421 Szenario 373 Theorie 349 Theory 346 Deutschland 319 Germany 258 Welt 227 World 222 Strategisches Management 215 Strategic management 198 Prognose 167 Wirkungsanalyse 149 Impact assessment 144 Klimaschutz 144 Climate protection 139 Forecast 137 Risikomanagement 132 Treibhausgas-Emissionen 130 Greenhouse gas emissions 129 EU-Staaten 128 Klimawandel 128 Climate change 127 EU countries 126 Risk management 126 Prognoseverfahren 118 Simulation 113 Forecasting model 112 Nachhaltige Entwicklung 83 Sustainable development 78 Russia 75 Russland 75 Energieversorgung 73 Lieferkette 73 Supply chain 73 Wirtschaftsprognose 73 Economic forecast 70 Energy supply 67
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Online availability
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Free 499 Undetermined 362
Type of publication
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Article 1,365 Book / Working Paper 1,245 Journal 2
Type of publication (narrower categories)
All
Article in journal 1,022 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 1,022 Graue Literatur 424 Non-commercial literature 424 Aufsatz im Buch 337 Book section 337 Working Paper 270 Arbeitspapier 240 Hochschulschrift 163 Thesis 124 Collection of articles of several authors 50 Sammelwerk 50 Forschungsbericht 40 Case study 39 Fallstudie 39 Dissertation u.a. Prüfungsschriften 34 Amtsdruckschrift 30 Government document 30 Advisory report 18 Aufsatzsammlung 18 Gutachten 18 Konferenzschrift 16 Reprint 15 Bibliografie enthalten 11 Bibliography included 11 Conference paper 11 Konferenzbeitrag 11 Research Report 7 Collection of articles written by one author 6 Guidebook 6 Ratgeber 6 Sammlung 6 Commentary 5 Conference proceedings 5 Kommentar 5 Lehrbuch 3 Mehrbändiges Werk 3 Multi-volume publication 3 Statistics 3 Statistik 3
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Language
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English 1,763 German 695 Russian 63 Undetermined 29 French 19 Dutch 10 Polish 9 Slovak 6 Ukrainian 6 Serbian 5 Hungarian 4 Slovenian 4 Czech 3 Lithuanian 3 Finnish 2 Romanian 2 Bulgarian 1 Estonian 1 Croatian 1 Norwegian 1 Spanish 1
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Author
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Fink, Alexander 16 Wright, George 15 Ramírez, Rafael 14 Gracht, Heiko von der 12 Chermack, Thomas J. 11 Cairns, George 10 Heijden, Kees van der 9 Meadows, Dennis L. 9 Meadows, Donella H. 9 Schiebel, Edgar 9 Stelzer, Birgit 9 Bach, Stefan 8 Gornig, Martin 8 Madlener, Reinhard 8 McKibbin, Warwick J. 8 Randers, Jørgen 8 Wulf, Torsten 8 Apholte, Alfred 7 Babbel, David F. 7 Fernando, Roshen 7 Gausemeier, Jürgen 7 Graf, Hans Georg 7 Holz, Franziska 7 Mietzner, Dana 7 Nijkamp, Peter 7 Riahi, Keywan 7 Ringland, Gill 7 Selsky, John W. 7 Tietz, Bruno 7 Burt, George 6 Friedrich, Klaus 6 Hope, Chris W. 6 Kober, Tom 6 Möhrle, Martin G. 6 Schlake, Oliver 6 Siebe, Andreas 6 Tol, Richard S. J. 6 Wallace, Stein W. 6 Wilkinson, Angela 6 Yang, Emily 6
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Institution
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Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 12 Deutschland / Umweltbundesamt 9 Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden 9 Europäische Kommission / Gemeinsame Forschungsstelle 8 Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung 7 OECD 5 Niederlande / Centraal Planbureau 4 Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 4 Books on Demand GmbH <Norderstedt> 3 Forschungszentrum Jülich / Programmgruppe Technologiefolgenforschung 3 Hamburgisches WeltWirtschaftsInstitut 3 International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis 3 Johann Heinrich von Thünen-Institut 3 National Bureau of Economic Research 3 Polski Instytut Ekonomiczny 3 Shaker Verlag 3 Universität Ulm / Institut für Technologie- und Prozessmanagement 3 Urad za Makroekonomske Analize in Razvoj <Ljubljana> 3 Verlag Dr. Kovač 3 Zukunftsinstitut 3 Berenberg-Bank 2 Bundesinstitut für Bau-, Stadt- und Raumforschung 2 Club of Rome 2 Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung / Arbeitskreis Langfristprognose 2 Deutschland / Bundesministerium für Umwelt, Naturschutz und Reaktorsicherheit 2 Deutschland <Bundesrepublik> / Enquete-Kommission Vorsorge zum Schutz der Erdatmosphäre 2 Deutschland <Bundesrepublik> / Umweltbundesamt 2 European Centre for the Development of Vocational Training 2 European Wind Energy Association 2 Europäische Gemeinschaften / Generaldirektion Wirtschaft und Finanzen 2 Europäische Kommission / Generaldirektion Forschung und Innovation 2 Frankreich / Centre d'Analyse Stratégique 2 Gottlieb-Daimler-und-Karl-Benz-Stiftung 2 Hans-Böckler-Stiftung 2 IHK-Forum Rhein-Main 2 Institut Ėkonomičeskoj Politiki Imeni E. T. Gajdara 2 Ladenburger Kolleg Globalisierung Verstehen und Gestalten <1998, Ladenburg> 2 Metropolis-Verlag für Ökonomie Gesellschaft und Politik GmbH 2 Schweiz / Bundesamt für Wirtschaft und Arbeit 2 Vereinigung der Hessischen Unternehmerverbände 2
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Published in...
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Technological forecasting & social change : an international journal 139 Studies on Russian economic development : the official journal of the Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences 31 European journal of operational research : EJOR 27 Business planning for turbulent times : new methods for applying scenarios 24 International journal of energy sector management : IJESM 19 Energy policy 18 Energy economics 17 Climate policy 16 International journal of foresight and innovation policy : IJFIP 15 Scenarios for success : turning insights into action 14 Ecological economics : the transdisciplinary journal of the International Society for Ecological Economics 13 Advances in developing human resources : ADHR 11 CPB document 11 Europäische Hochschulschriften / 5 10 Technology analysis & strategic management 10 Beiträge zur Strukturforschung 9 Computational Management Science : CMS 9 International journal of production economics 9 Journal of air transport management 9 Central Europe in transition : towards EU membership 8 Climate change economics 8 ITOP-Schriftenreihe 8 International journal of production research 8 Journal of risk management in financial institutions 8 Journal of the Operational Research Society : OR 8 Scenarios in marketing : from vision to decision 8 Schriften des Energiewirtschaftlichen Instituts 8 HNI-Verlagsschriftenreihe 7 Nota di lavoro / Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei 7 Omega : the international journal of management science 7 Tourism management : research, policies, practice 7 Transportation research / E : an international journal 7 Working paper series 7 Agrarwirtschaft : Zeitschrift für Betriebswirtschaft, Marktforschung und Agrarpolitik 6 Berichte / Umweltbundesamt 6 Economics of energy & environmental policy 6 Environmental economics and policy studies 6 Futures : the journal of policy, planning and futures studies 6 Long range planning : LRP ; international journal of strategic management 6 Risiko-Manager 6
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Source
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ECONIS (ZBW) 2,425 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 146 EconStor 39 OLC EcoSci 2
Showing 1 - 50 of 2,612
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Assessing Financial Risks from Physical Climate Shocks : A Framework for Scenario Generation
Ranger, Nicola Ann - 2022
Climate change has become a main concern of ministries of finance, central banks, and financial regulators. In response, a suite of scenarios and tools have been developed tthe potential scale of climate risks and underprice investments in resilience. This is particularly important for emerging...
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Nachhaltigkeitsrisiken in Versicherungsunternehmen : regulatorische Entwicklungen, Szenarioanalysen und Stress-Tests
Kraft, Mirko - 2022
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The impact of carbon pricing in a multi-region production network model and an application to climate scenarios
Frankovic, Ivan - 2022
This paper builds on existing production network models to study the impact of global and sub-global carbon pricing. It uses the World Input-Output Database (WIOD) to calibrate intersectoral trade between seven regions and 56 economic sectors per region as well as EXIOBASE’s sectoral accounts...
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Sustainability risk and portfolio management : a strategic scenario method for sustainable product development
Villamil, Carolina; Schulte, Jesko; Hallstedt, Sophie - In: Business strategy and the environment 31 (2022) 3, pp. 1042-1057
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Taxation, infrastructure investment, growth, and poverty reduction : a case study of Zimbabwe
Lofgren, Hans; Cicowiez, Martín - 2022
In recent decades, Zimbabwe’s development record has been disappointing. In the last few years, a severe drought and the Covid-19 pandemic have added to the country’s development challenges. This paper is concerned with the long-run need to find a path toward faster growth in GDP,...
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Scenarios for different "future Indias" : sharpening energy and climate modelling tools
Spencer, Thomas; Dubash, Navroz K. - In: Climate policy 22 (2022) 1, pp. 30-47
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Büroimmobilien nach Corona - eine Szenarienanalyse : Studie im Auftrag von BERENBERG, Joh. Berenberg, Gossler & Co. KG
Eisfeld, Rupert K.; Heinemann, Ann-Kathrin; Just, Tobias; … - 2022
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Simulating the trade effects of the COVID-19 pandemic : scenario analysis based on quantitative trade modelling
Bekkers, Eddy; Koopman, Robert Bernard - In: The world economy : the leading journal on … 45 (2022) 2, pp. 445-467
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COVID-19 pandemic and economic scenarios for Ontario
Casares, Miguel; Gomme, Paul A.; Khan, Hashmat - In: The Canadian journal of economics : the journal of the … 55 (2022) S1, pp. 503-539
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After the new normal : scenarios for Europe in the post Covid-19 world : Foresight on Demand (FoD)
Cuhls, Kerstin; Rosa, Aaron; Weber, Karl Matthias; … - Europäische Kommission / Generaldirektion Forschung … - 2022
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Collaboration, decarbonization, and distributional effects
Mier, Mathias; Siala, Kais; Govorukha, Kristina; Mayer, … - 2022
We conduct a hybrid scenario exercise to analyze decarbonization pathways of the European power market and related distributional effects across countries as well as between consumers and producers. Our CIB analysis reveals qualitative scenarios that differ in the level of political (stringency...
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Reziliența strategică a Uniunii Europene, inclusiv în domeniile tehnologic și digital : scenarii de viitor și contribuții ale României
Cosmin Mihai, Ioan-Cosmin; Cîmpean, Petre-Dan; … - 2022
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Viitorul Uniunii Europene: riscuri și scenarii pentru 2030 : o uniune coezivă în fața provocărilor globale
Jora, Octavian-Dragomir; Dinga, Ene; Ionescu, … - 2022
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Assessing Financial Risks from Physical Climate Shocks : A Framework for Scenario Generation
Mahul, Olivier; Monasterolo, Irene; Ranger, Nicola Ann - 2022
Climate change has become a main concern of ministries of finance, central banks, and financial regulators. In response, a suite of scenarios and tools have been developed tthe potential scale of climate risks and underprice investments in resilience. This is particularly important for emerging...
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Scenario forecasting of the agri-food sphere in rural territories development in the conditions of digital economy formation
Gusmanov, Rasul; Stovba, Eugene; Paptsov, Andrey; … - 2022
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Die Rolle von Elektroautos in der Mobilität von morgen: Ambitionierte Flottenemissionsnormen und flankierende Politikinstrumente helfen, deutsche Klimaschutzziele zu erreichen
Rudolph, Frederic; Jochem, Patrick - 2021
Im vergangenen Jahr waren die Zuwachszahlen im Bereich der Elektromobilität in Deutschland höher als jemals zuvor. Das enorme Wachstum ist vor allem der EU-Verordnung zur Flottenemissionsnorm zu verdanken. Die Elektromobilität hat damit einen wichtigen Schritt gemacht und gezeigt, dass sie...
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Is Sustainable Development Really Possible in Current Scenario in India?
Pradhan, Raj Kishor - 2021
Objective and research methodology: The objective of this paper is to examine the possibility of achieving sustainable development in current scenario. This paper is explorative by nature and secondary sources have been used as the source of information.Finding: The world’s governments have...
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Rethinking the Future of Energy : Scenarios for 2050
Belostotskaya, Anastasia - 2021
The global energy market is going through the unprecedented change. Ability to identify what driving forces will be transforming the markets in coming decades and shape the future of energy is a key for policymakers and industry in developing better working strategies. At the same time, the...
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Fiscal Transparency and Accountability : Research Note for the Fiscal Futures’ Scenario Planning Workshops
Rudiger, Anja - 2021
This century has seen an impressive increase in public access to fiscal information and civic engagement on budget issues. Norms of fiscal transparency have gained ground around the world. Yet many advocates and practitioners in the fiscal transparency and accountability (T/A) field expected...
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Scenario Analysis with the DD-PD Mapping Approach : Stock Market Shocks and U.S. Corporate Default Risk
Chan-Lau, Jorge A. - 2021
This paper introduces the quantile regression- based Distance-to-Default to Probability of Default (DD-PD) mapping, which links individual firms’ DD to their real world PD. Since changes in the DD depend on a handful of parameters, the mapping easily accommodates shocks arising from...
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How Do (Green) Innovators Respond to Climate Change Scenarios? Evidence from a Field Experiment
Guzman, Jorge; Oh, Jean Joohyun; Sen, Ananya - 2021
This paper aims to unpack the pro-social motivations of green innovators. In a field experiment inviting SBIR grantees to learn more about and apply to MIT Solve, we provide scientifically valid scenarios varying the time-frame and scale of human cost of climate change. Innovators' response in...
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Scenario To Deal With Transition Risk From an Investment Bank Perspective
Schweizer, Romain - 2021
To deal with the so-called transition risk implied by climate change, investment banks are asked to produced scenario. We question this methodology and try to trace back the theoretical foundation of such a recommandation. We conclude by exploring other ways to deal with transition risk,...
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The European Market for Guarantees of Origin for Green Electricity : A Scenario-Based Evaluation of Trading under Uncertainty
Wimmers, Alexander; Madlener, Reinhard - 2021
Because electricity is a homogeneous commodity, the origin of a specific MWh of delivered green electricity cannot be determined. Thus, Guarantees of Origin (GoO) were introduced in order to enhance transparency on the origin of production of green electricity in Europe. The separation of...
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Tail Model Risk in a Stress Scenario for House Prices
Sarmiento, Camilo - 2021
This paper incorporates uncertainties of model risk in a stress scenario for house prices. Our approach consists of mapping the Gaussian (or other alternative) distribution quantiles to the quantiles of the empirical distribution using a statistical criterion. The mapping corrects for the...
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Global Business Scenario Planning – Uncertainties and Suggestions for the Financial World
ul Haq, Bina - 2021
• Scenario planning can mitigate losses, increase market expansion, prevent business regional exit and maximise profits.• Global banks must form partnerships with local and Islamic banks in global markets to utilize local expertise, acceptance and success.• Businesses operating in...
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Incorporation of wind power probabilities into long-term energy system development analysis using bottom-up models
Norvaiša, Egidijus; Galinis, Arvydas; Neniškis, Eimantas - In: Energy strategy reviews 38 (2021), pp. 1-12
For future low-carbon energy systems with high shares of renewable energy, temporal representation becomes the dominant factor that impacts the model outputs and analysis conclusions; therefore, relevant and complex modelling approaches are required. We present and apply specific methodology for...
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A new normal beyond Covid-19 : estimating the effects of the pandemic on the energy system, with a focus on the transport sector
Keramidas, Kimon; Fosse, Florian; Diaz Vazquez, Ana; … - Europäische Kommission / Gemeinsame Forschungsstelle - 2021
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Foresight for small and medium enterprises in the context of the circular economy
Anzules-Falcones, Wendy; Diaz-Marquez, Angela Maria; … - In: Foresight and STI governance : journal of the National … 15 (2021) 1, pp. 86-96
Small, medium, and micro enterprises make important contributions to economic growth and employment. Based on evidence from of the tire processing industry in Ecuador, this article assesses the development prospects for such companies in the context of the transition to a circular economy. The...
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The scientific, technological and societal conditions of the end of the COVID-19 crisis
Varnai, Peter; Simmonds, Paul - Europäische Kommission / Generaldirektion Forschung … - 2021
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Correlation scenarios and correlation stress testing
Packham, Natalie; Woebbeking, Fabian - 2021
We develop a general approach for stress testing correlations of financial asset portfolios. The correlation matrix of asset returns is specified in a parametric form, where correlations are represented as a function of risk factors, such as country and industry factors. A sparse factor...
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Waterpijpgebruik en het rookverbod : gevolgen van verschillende scenario's om de schadelijkheid van waterpijpgebruik te verminderen
Kok, Lucy; Luiten, William; Smits, Tom - 2021
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Scenario analysis of online food supply chains
Beckmann, Anne - In: Adapting to the future : how digitalization shapes …, (pp. 585-609). 2021
Purpose: For a long time, online food retail, especially in Germany, lagged strongly behind other e-commerce industries. The COVID-19 pandemic gave this market an unforeseen boost in demand. Nevertheless, numerous problems still exist in the industry, such as lack of profitability, staff...
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Assessing the role of renewables in reducing emissions in the Saudi power sector using mixed-integer optimization
Elshurafa, Amro M.; Al-Atawi, Hatem; Soummane, Salaheddine - 2021
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Saudi non-oil exports before and after COVID-19 : historical impacts of determinants and scenario analysis
Hasanov, Fakhri J.; Javid, Muhammad; Joutz, Frederick L. - 2021
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Projecting Saudi sectoral electricity demand in 2030 using a computable general equilibrium model
Soummane, Salaheddine; Ghersi, Frédéric - 2021
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Transition scenarios for analyzing climate-related financial risk
Chen, Henry; Ens, Erik; Gervais, Olivier; Hosseini, Hossein - 2021
In November 2020, the Bank of Canada launched a pilot project with the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions aimed at better understanding risks to the economy and the financial system related to climate change. Part of this work included developing a set of Canada-relevant...
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Plummeting costs of renewables : are energy scenarios lagging?
Xiao, Mengzhu; Junne, Tobias; Haas, Jannik; Klein, Martin - In: Energy strategy reviews 35 (2021), pp. 1-12
Wind and solar energy play a pivotal role in deep decarbonization pathways for the future. However, energy scenario studies differ substantially in the contribution of these technologies, as the technology selection in models strongly depends on the choice of techno-economic parameters. In this...
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Beaming market simulation to the future by combining agent-based modeling with scenario analysis
Stummer, Christian; Lüpke, Lars; Günther, Markus - In: Journal of business economics : JBE 91 (2021) 9, pp. 1469-1497
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Future natural gas consumption in the context of decarbonization : a meta-analysis of scenarios modeling the German energy system
Scharf, Hendrik; Arnold, Fabian; Lencz, Dominic - In: Energy strategy reviews 33 (2021), pp. 1-12
Germany strives to reduce its greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by at least 80% by 2050 compared to 1990 levels. In the underlying roadmap (Climate Action Plan 2050), natural gas is declared to be a bridge energy carrier into a carbon neutral era. But, since the roadmap only describes guiding...
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On complex economic scenario generators : is less more?
Bégin, Jean-François - In: ASTIN bulletin : the journal of the International … 51 (2021) 3, pp. 779-812
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Coping with uncertainties in the electricity sector : methods for decisions of different scope
Weber, Christoph; Heidari, Sina; Bucksteeg, Michael - In: Economics of energy & environmental policy 10 (2021) 1, pp. 5-30
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Beyond RCP8.5 : marginal mitigation using quasi-representative concentration pathways
Miller, J. Isaac; Brock, William A. - 2021
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Impact on households of the inclusion of transport and residential buildings in the EU ETS
Polski Instytut Ekonomiczny - 2021
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Scenario analysis with the DD-PD mapping approach : stock market shocks and U.S. corporate default risk
Chan-Lau, Jorge A. - 2021
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ECB economy-wide climate stress test : methodology and results
Alogoskoufis, Spyros; Dunz, Nepomuk; Emambakhsh, Tina; … - 2021
Climate change is one of the greatest challenges facing humankind this century. If left unchecked, it is likely to result in more frequent and severe climatic events, with the potential to cause substantial disruption to our economies, businesses and livelihoods in the coming decades. Yet the...
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A forecasting model in managing future scenarios to achieve the sustainable development goals of Thailand’s environmental law : enriching the path analysis-VARIMA-OVi model
Pruethsan Sutthichaimethee; Wahab, Harlida Abdul - In: International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy : IJEEP 11 (2021) 4, pp. 398-411
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Jobmotor Klimaschutz : Beschäftigungseffekte durch ambitionierten Klimaschutz
Becker, Lisa; Lutz, Christian - 2021
Klima- und Umweltschutz spielen bereits heute eine wichtige Rolle auf dem Arbeitsmarkt. Durch den Ausbau erneuerbarer Energien, Investitionen in Energieeffizienzmaßnahmen sowie durch die Nachfrage nach umweltschutzorientierten Dienstleistungen und Umweltschutzgütern ergibt sich aktuell ein...
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Scenario-based risk evaluation
Wang, Ruodu; Ziegel, Johanna F. - In: Finance and stochastics 25 (2021) 4, pp. 725-756
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Scenario generation for IFRS9 purposes using a Bayesian MS-VAR model
Kuchta, Michal - 2021
The industry consensus on the implementation of the International Financial and Reporting Standard 9 - Financial Instruments (IFRS9) in the field of credit risk is that the estimation of credit risk parameters should be conditioned in the baseline, upside and downside macroeconomic scenarios...
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Die Rolle von Elektroautos in der Mobilität von morgen : ambitionierte Flottenemissionsnormen und flankierende Politikinstrumente helfen, deutsche Klimaschutzziele zu erreichen
Rudolph, Frederic; Jochem, Patrick - 2021
Im vergangenen Jahr waren die Zuwachszahlen im Bereich der Elektromobilität in Deutschland höher als jemals zuvor. Das enorme Wachstum ist vor allem der EU-Verordnung zur Flottenemissionsnorm zu verdanken. Die Elektromobilität hat damit einen wichtigen Schritt gemacht und gezeigt, dass sie...
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