We study the social and distributional implications of the euro area (EA) sovereign debt crisis in countries that received external financial assistance for macroeconomic adjustments. Combining granular data from about one million survey interviews with households across euro area states carried...

This paper presents a novel approach to prognosing European economic crises through the development of an economic-financial risk sensitivity model. The model integrates key macroeconomic indicators such as government deficit (NETGDP), GINI coefficient, social protection expenditure (ExSocP),...

In this paper, I extend the Hein and Stockhammer model of distribution and inflation by incorporating structural trends of financialization through three Kaleckian channels: (1) sectoral recomposition, (2) financial overhead costs and rentiers' profit claims, and (3) the bargaining power of...

The Korean shipping industry, which underwent consolidation of shipping companies in the 1980s, continued to grow with the recovery of the global economy from the late 1980s to the first half of the 1990s. The civilian government that came to power after 30 years of military rule gradually...

Uncertainty affects people in various ways. It is frequently found to hinder investment and production in the economic sphere. In this study, we examine the empirical relationship between uncertainty and tolerance toward Muslims and Jews. Does uncertainty make people more or less tolerant? This...

The employment structure in emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs) differs markedly from that in advanced economies, which has implications for adjustment to cyclical conditions. This paper examines the cyclicality of employment in advanced economies and EMDEs. Although EMDEs exhibit...

Western media and academia have heralded the China collapse narrative. This paper provides a critical and balanced examination of the four challenges facing the Chinese economy - namely, deflation, debt, demographics, and de-coupling/de-risking. It argues that while deflationary pressure is...

During the 2008 Great Recession, the adoption of counter-cyclical economic policies made the Brazilian economy more resilient. However, a noteworthy shift occurred in 2014, marked by a deterioration in Brazil's macroeconomic landscape, primarily driven by a worsening debt situation....

Some studies have provided empirical evidence that firms' high growth rates just before economic crises are negatively associated with resilience. Other authors have observed that firms that grow fast in the early phases of an external crisis are generally more resilient. This countercyclical...

We study the long-term effects of inflation surges on inflation expectations using Germany as a laboratory. Households living in areas with higher local inflation during the hyperinflation of the 1920s expect higher inflation today, even after controlling for known determinants of historical...

This study investigates the relationship between national economic crises and Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) performance across 100 countries from 1990 to 2019. While ESG frameworks have gained prominence in assessing sustainability, limited attention has been given to the role of...

We investigate the diffusion of frontier technologies across German firms before and during the Covid-19 crisis. Our analysis tracks the nature, timing, and pandemic-related motivations behind technology investments, using tailor-made longitudinal survey data linked to administrative...

This paper examines the impact of protectionist policies on exports within global value chains (GVCs), using the COVID-19 pandemic as a natural experiment. Leveraging UK customs data (2017–2020) and a shift-share identification strategy, we estimate an elasticity of exports with respect to...

In all successful economic societies, trust is a unity factor. By contrast, the absence of trust leads to poor economic performance and negative social implications. In this paper, we uncover the relationships among social trust, corruption, and the duration of economic crises. Our theoretical...

This study examines the effects of timing of exposure to the Asian financial crisis on higher education and early labor market outcomes. We estimate a generalized difference-in-differences model exploiting variation in age at exposure and regional severity of the recession in South Korea. Using...

This article places the current economic stagnation in Germany in the context of previous crises since 1991. In terms of depth, the current macroeconomic crisis, resulting from the pandemic and geopolitical upheavals, has already exceeded the level of all three previous crises, in some cases...

The COVID-19 pandemic has had an enormous economic impact on society. One of the little-known links is the impact of the pandemic on corporate social responsibility. The main aim of this research was to compare the situation before and during the pandemic, which allows the assessment of the...

Economic crises produce rapid and sizable shifts in the demand for social support. Means-tested cash transfers, such as "social assistance" programmes and related minimum-income benefits (MIB) typically function as benefits of last-resort, filling some of the support gaps left by other...

This paper examines the macroeconomic implications of unrealistic optimism, a psychological bias that has been largely overlooked in economic models. While traditional models often link optimism to speculative bubbles and excessive risk taking, this study challenges that view by demonstrating...

Many observers see the Covid-19 crisis as marking a major shift in neoliberal globalization. We analyze this question from the perspective of South Africa. We argue that the 2020 crisis has not precipitated a major shift as much as it has rapidly accelerated trends which were already under way...

In this paper, we analyze the impact of external uncertainty shocks on the Korean economy, focusing on Russian geopolitical risks and U.S. monetary policy uncertainty. We find that increases in external uncertainties negatively affect the Korean macroeconomy, with a particularly pronounced...

Globale Krisen zeigen die Anfälligkeit von Lieferketten, besonders in Deutschland und Europa. Strukturelle Veränderungen wie Digitalisierung, Dekarbonisierung und regionale Sicherheit erhöhen den Bedarf an importierten Rohstoffen. Bestehende Abhängigkeiten werden dadurch vertieft,...

Contributing to the literature on the diversity of capitalism, this article shows how actors in the Polish public services responded to interlinked crises, namely the chronic public services crisis and its aggravation by the COVID-19 pandemic and the arrival of refugees triggered by war in...

Globale Krisen zeigen die Anfälligkeit von Lieferketten, besonders in Deutschland und Europa. Strukturelle Veränderungen wie Digitalisierung, Dekarbonisierung und regionale Sicherheit erhöhen den Bedarf an importierten Rohstoffen. Bestehende Abhängigkeiten werden dadurch vertieft,...

Ukraine's post-conflict economy needs new opportunities to grow because it has not been able to rebuild itself economically. As we live in an era of globalization, it is crucial that national economies - especially Ukraine's - meet the demands of the international community. With its...

Wie bereits das Jahr 2022 war auch das Jahr 2023 durch die Mehrfachkrise geprägt. Die Inflation war weiterhin hoch bei gleichzeitig geringem Wirtschaftswachstum. Trotz dynamischer Lohnentwicklung gab es weitere Reallohnrückgänge in ganz Europa. Im Euroraum und der Europäischen Union stiegen...

The German economy has been suffering from multiple crises in recent years. This is regularly reflected in the outcome of leading economic indicators, such as the monthly "IMK Konjunkturindikator". Structural developments are difficult to identify in such an environment. However, the German...