Repo markets clear either bilaterally over the counter (OTC) or through central counter-parties (CCPs), which differ in how counterparty risk is priced. In bilateral markets, repo rates reflect borrower-specific risk, while CCP clearing pools counterparties and applies a common pricing rule. We...

This study examines the role of volatility mean reversion in option pricing and evaluates the performance of commonly used volatility estimators within a broad market context. Using a comprehensive dataset of end-of-day option chains for the 100 most actively traded U.S. equities from 2018 to...

The article presents a blockchain-based architecture for decentralized electricity trading that tokenizes energy delivery rights and cash-flows. Energy Attribute Certificates (EACs) are implemented as NFTs, while buy/sell orders are encoded as ERC-1155 tokens whose tokenId packs a time slot and...

Using a panel dataset of 385 European bank-year observations covering the 2012 to 2022 period, this study aimed to investigate the impact of derivatives on bank value and performance. We used bank-level panel data and conducted several multivariate statistical analyses, i.e., ordinary least...

Central clearing counterparties (CCPs) manage counterparty risk by requiring clearing members to post margins. This paper explores the role of margins as "canaries in the coal mine:" By inducing defaults of fragile counterparties before contract maturity, margin calls enable CCPs to transfer...

Locational marginal pricing (LMP) provides efficient locational dispatch and investment signals but requires a complementary congestion hedging instrument to function effectively. This paper investigates how exposure to locational price differences is managed in North American nodal electricity...

We argue that the rapid asset growth of nonbank financial intermediaries (NBFIs) relative to banks is the outcome of transformations of risks between banks and NBFIs that increase the interconnectedness of the two sectors. These transformations are consistent with avoiding tighter, post-GFC bank...

The literature on derivative pricing in illiquid markets has mostly focused on computing optimal hedging controls, but empirical microstructure studies show that large order flow generates persistent and predictable price effects. Therefore, these controls can themselves induce endogenous market...

The relationship between Credit Default Swaps (CDS) and cash bonds plays a pivotal role in providing market participants with important information which directly affects investment and risk management strategies. Particularly relevant is the CDS-Bond basis, defined as the difference in basis...

Modern financial systems do not exist in isolation but form part of a complex global network of interconnected financial systems. This globalization of financial systems significantly increases the risk of contagion in financial markets, impacting asset prices and other important economic...

This study develops a novel AI-based trading framework designed to consistently generate profits across cyclical bullish and bearish futures markets. Unlike conventional strategies that rely on static rules or a single predictive model, the proposed framework introduces a dual-agent deep...

This Live Wire focuses on safety concerns associated with hydrogen and its main derivatives: ammonia and methanol. After an exhaustive review of the literature and measures on hydrogen safety, the study summarized here found robust, well-established standards developed by reputable institutions....

We study the implications of deviations from covered interest rate parity for international capital flows using novel data covering euro-area derivatives and securities holdings. Consistent with a dynamic model of currency risk hedging, we document that investors' holdings of USD bonds decrease...

The combination of stochastic derivative pricing models and downside risk measures often leads to the paradox (risk, return) = (−infinity, +infinity) in a portfolio choice problem. The construction of a portfolio of derivatives with high expected returns and very negative downside risk...

We study the shape of the Bachelier-implied volatility of a spread option on two assets following correlated local volatility models. This includes the limiting case of spread options on two correlated Black-Scholes (BS) assets. We give an analytical result for the at-the-money (ATM) skew of the...

This report overviews the IMF technical assistance mission to enhance Ukraine's FX derivatives market amidst ongoing economic challenges. In navigating the complex environment, the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) imposed FX restrictions to manage flows, complicating normalization of financial...

This study examines whether changes in the implied volatility of stock options have cross-sectional predictability for future changes in credit default swap (CDS) spreads in the Korean market. The major findings are as follows. First, in the CDS portfolio analysis, when buying a portfolio with...

This study explores an innovative approach to incorporating option strategies into equity portfolios. It presents an alternative direction that institutional investors could take to overcome their current challenges, in a context where traditionally diversified portfolios of only equity and...

We propose a novel framework to assess systemic risk stemming from the inadequate liquidity preparedness of non-bank financial institutions (NBFIs) to derivative margin calls. Unlike banks, NBFIs may struggle to source liquidity and meet margin calls during periods of significant asset price...

Shocks to a bank's ability to raise liquidity at short notice can trigger depositor panics. Why don't banks take a more active role in managing these risks? We study contingent risk management (hedging) in a standard global-games model of a bank run. Banks fail to hedge precisely when the...