This paper presents an innovative approach to financial market modelling by integrating fuzzy discount factors into the decision-making process, thereby reflecting the complexities of human behaviour. Traditional financial models often fail to account for market dynamics' psychological factors....

This report estimates the "social rate of time preference" (SRTP) for New Zealand public policy appraisal using a Ramsey equation. It uses the Weitzman (1998) method to derive a declining discount rate schedule of 2% (real) for years 1-30, 1.5% for years 31-100, and 1% for years 101 on. The...

We utilize Bayesian model averaging to estimate a stochastic discount factor (SDF) for single-stock options. A Bayesian model averaging SDF outperforms reduced-form benchmark models in-sample and out-of-sample in pricing option return anomalies and portfolios. We document that the SDF is dense...

Individuals trade present for future consumption across a range of economic behaviors, and this tradeoff may differ across socioeconomic groups. To assess these tradeoffs, we estimate a dynamic model of residential solar adoption and system sizing in California using household-level data on...

We study all theories of justice that disentangle ethical views on intergenerational discounting and intergenerational inequality. Each “modular” social welfare function is uniquely identified by a time-discounting function—capturing attitudes toward time—and an aggregator function—...

We study a discrete-time optimal growth model with endogenous discounting. The discount factor may depend on both consumption and the capital stock, and intertemporal utility is modeled as a discounted sum of instantaneous utilities, with the sum of discount factors equal to one. We show that...

We study infinitely repeated games in which the players’ rates of time preference may evolve endogenously in the course of the game. Our goal is to strengthen the folk theorem of Kochov and Song (2023) by relaxing the assumption of observable mixtures. To that end, we identify and impose a new...

This article reviews Paul Crosthwaite's Speculative Time: American Literature in an Age of Crisis (2024) and Liliana Doganova's Discounting the Future: The Ascendancy of a Political Technology (2024), situating them within recent scholarship on a future-oriented, speculative, and economic...

This paper applies the newly suggested Markov chained Monte Carlo Surface Sampling Algorithm of Zappa estimating European discount factors and relative risk aversions for the CRRA utility functions based on the consumption capital asset pricing model (CCAPM). The relatively challenging...

Firms' perceived cost of green capital has decreased since the rise of sustainable investing. Green and brown firms perceived their cost of capital to be the same before 2016, but after the post-2016 surge in sustainable investing, green firms perceived their cost of capital to be on average 1...

Dynamic consistency is crucial for credible evaluation of intergenerational choice plans that inherently lack commitment. We offer a general characterization for dynamically consistent intergenerational welfare aggregation. The aggregation is characterized by envy-guilt asymmetry in discounting...