The interest in consumer attitudes and role in economic and social life becomes increasingly evident among the representatives of economic sciences and has become a focal point in the financial industry. This issue is not only important for financial institutions in terms of building long-term...

This paper examines the evolution of the Portuguese residential real estate market during the first twenty-five years of the 21st century, focusing on the short-run determinants of housing transaction values. Using quarterly data from 2000 to 2025, the study applies an econometric time-series...

How borrowers respond to future changes in the interest rate on their debt matters for the transmission of monetary policy and for household financial stability. Combining bank data, a letter RCT, and a survey, we study this question in the context of the German mortgage market, where since 2022...

This paper explores ways in which borrower-based measures (BBMs) could be applied to commercial real estate (CRE) lending, focusing on suitable metrics and scope. BBMs have already proven to be effective in mitigating credit risks in residential real estate lending by curbing excessive credit...

Using information from the ECB's Bank Lending Survey, we examine how the implementation of borrower-based macroprudential measures (BBMs) between 2009-Q1 and 2023-Q3 affected mortgage lending standards in a sample of 15 euro area countries. We find that banks generally tightened credit standards...

We study how households choose between three mortgage contracts with different payment structures: fixed-rate fixed-payment, variable-rate variable-payment, and a hybrid variable-rate fixed-payment mortgage where interest rate changes affect principal repayment rather than payment size. This...

We document that increases in property insurance premiums reduce mortgage originations. The effect is strongest for the rate refinancing and cash-out refinancing segments. We show that denials associated with increased premiums are significantly more likely attributed to high debt-to-income...

How borrowers respond to future changes in the interest rate on their debt matters for the transmission of monetary policy and for household financial stability. Combining bank data, a letter RCT, and a survey, we study this question in the context of the German mortgage market, where since 2022...

We calibrate a lifecycle portfolio-choice model of homeowners facing uninsurable income risk to show that tax deductions for mortgage interest payments and voluntary pension contributions have sizable effects on household portfolios and macroprudential risks. The deductions reduce the after-tax...

Population aging and the sustainability of retirement financing are critical challenges facing many developed economies. In South Korea, elderly poverty remains a critical issue, despite widespread homeownership among older adults. Although the home pension program allows retirees to unlock...

How borrowers respond to future changes in the interest rate on their debt matters for the transmission of monetary policy and for household financial stability. Combining bank data, a letter RCT, and a survey, we study this question in the context of the German mortgage market, where since 2022...

We calibrate a lifecycle portfolio-choice model of homeowners facing uninsurable income risk to show that tax deductions for mortgage interest payments and voluntary pension contributions have sizable effects on household portfolios and macroprudential risks. The deductions reduce the after-tax...

We use Canadian data to examine how monetary policy affects house prices and the consumer price index for rent (CPI-rent) through exogenous changes in the mortgage interest rates. Nationwide, tighter monetary policy lowers house prices but raises CPI-rent, likely due to higher user costs for...

Mortgage debt represents over 70% of all Canadian household financial liabilities, and the performance of these debts is critical to the health of the financial system. We explore the relationships between mortgage arrears and key macroeconomic fundamentals such as labour market variables,...

This note finds evidence of a positive and nonlinear relationship between mortgage interest costs (MIC) and rental inflation: the impact of MIC on rents is small when population growth is near its historical norm, but significantly stronger during periods of rapid population growth. This pattern...

The article estimates the effectiveness of tightening borrower-, capital-, and liquidity-based tools in decreasing the cyclical component of housing price growth and the probability of housing price booms with and without a low interest rate environment. The estimate is based on quarterly data...

Using harmonized household data from 18 European countries, this paper studies what triggers mortgage default. We distinguish between liquidity stress, negative equity, and the double trigger, where both occur simultaneously. We find that all three increase default risk, but the double trigger...

This paper examines the behavioural patterns of Canadian borrowers as they progress toward mortgage delinquency. Using the full universe of TransUnion borrower credit data from 2015 to 2024, we document that mortgage holders begin increasing their credit utilization roughly two years before...

We study the transmission of rising interest rates to consumption using granular customer data from a major bank in Denmark. We show that households with adjustable-rate mortgages gradually reduced spending and increased deposits as market rates soared in 2022 but made no further spending cuts...

In dynamic models of asset markets with asymmetric information and endogenous screening, the anticipation of signaling through delayed sales incentivizes originators to exert greater effort ex ante. A central prediction in those models is a positive relationship between screening effort and the...

Aggregate consumption typically exceeds 60 per cent of GDP and should be pivotal in central bank policy models. Most use semi-structural macro-models, yet consumption is usually inadequately specified. We use a systems approach to estimate new equations for South African consumption, house...