Macroeconomic research often relies on structural vector autoregressions, (S)VARs, to uncover empirical regularities. Critics argue the method goes awry due to lag truncation: short lag-lengths imply a poor approximation to important data-generating processes (e.g. DSGE-models). Empirically,...

Transcripts from the US Federal Open Markets Committee provide, albeit with a lag, valuable information on the monetary policymaking process at the Federal Reserve Bank. We use the data compiled by Chappell et al. (2005b) on preferred interest rates (not votes) of individual FOMC members....

Over the last decade, a significant concern in the energy market has been the decline in the USA's oil imports and fall in energy prices. In this context, we investigate the impact of the shale revolution in the USA on oil prices and examine its potential replicability in other shale-rich...

This study investigates the lead-lag relationships and volatility dynamics among four major cryptocurrencies - Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Polygon - during the turbulent year of 2022. We address three primary research questions: (1) To what extent do lead-lag relationships exist among major...

In multivariate time series systems, key insights can be obtained by discovering lead-lagrelationships inherent in the data, which refer to the dependence between two timeseries shifted in time relative to one another, and which can be leveraged for thepurposes of control, forecasting or...

When using vector autoregressive (VAR) models for approximating time series, a key step is the selection of the lag length. Often this is performed using information criteria, even if a theoretical justification is lacking in some cases. For stationary processes, the asymptotic properties of the...

As a developing country, one of the important objectives of India is to accelerate economic growth. This has a considerable impact on CO2 emission. Life expectancy has a probable connection with CO2 emission in two opposite ways. Given technological status, more CO2 emission consequents upon...

The Nontraditional Agricultural Exports (NTAE) sub-sector is a key contributor to agricultural gross domestic product (GDP) in several developing countries. It has the potential to create jobs and contribute to enhancing food and nutrition security, hence an important pillar to the economies of...

This study investigates the impact of various economic sectors on household income in Thailand. It is conducted in light of the substantial "digital wallet" scheme initiated by the Thai government, with the goal of providing empirical evidence and suggesting alternative policies for regional...

The study identify determinants of electricity demand in Nigeria. Secondary data from 1980 through 2018 were used in the study. The study adopts the nonlinear ARDL method propounded by Shin et al. (2014). Results show that negative shock in the average price of electricity leads to increased...

We study the transmission of monetary policy shocks using daily consumption, corporate sales and employment series. We find that the economy responds at both short and long lags that are variable in economically significant ways. Consumption reacts in one week, reaches a local trough in one...

This paper presents a short discussion on the lag phenomenon. Lag-length selection is an important issue since all inferences in VAR models depend on the correct model specification. In contemporary econometric modelling, impulse response functions (IRFs) are used to describe the lagged...

The New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) specifies a relationship between inflation and a forcing variable and the current period’s expectation of future inflation. Most empirical estimates of the NKPC, typically based on Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimation, have found a significant...

There has been a monotonic increase in research investigating the performance of commercial banks across the globe. This is a recognition that the banking industry has a significant contribution to the service sector and national output. This paper examined the existence of the structure-conduct...

Persistent energy consumption issues are ascribed to the failure of energy planners to understand the various macroeconomic factors that influence energy consumption. Therefore, we investigated the factors influencing energy consumption in six net African oil-exporting countries (AOECs) between...

All countries are trying their best to achieve maximum economic prosperity through employing efficient economic strategies. Countries seem to be conscious of various factors that can potentially affect economic growth. Given that, the current study examines the impact of various macroeconomic...

This paper models the macro drivers of Australian housing affordability using aggregate quarterly data over the period September 1985 to June 2010 and an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach. We employ two alternative measures of relative housing affordability: the Housing Industry...

This paper extends earlier work on the R&D to patents relationship (Pakes-Griliches 1980, and Hausman, Hall, and Griliches, 1984) to a larger but shorter panel of firms. Using both non-linear least squares and Poisson type models to treat the problem of discreteness in the dependent variable the...

The paper explains how the Almon polynominal lag specification can be made stochastic in two different ways - one suggested by Shiller and another following the lines of Lindley and Smith. It is shown that both the estimators can be considered as modified ridge estimators. The paper then...

Price stability is one of the major goals of monetary policy and the key indicators of macroeconomic stability. Pursuing of price stability is primary to long-run growth and development; it should be the concern of every economy. This study examine the factors in determining inflation in...

I present and solve the problem of a producer who faces costs of acquiring, absorbing, and processing information. I establish a series of theoretical results describing the producer's behavior. First, I find the conditions under which she prefers to set a plan for the price she charges, or...

The effects on ex ante optima of a lag in seeing monetary realizations are studied using a matching model of money. The main new ingredient in the model is meetings in which producers have more information than consumers. A consequence is that increases in the amount of money that occur with...

The following paper discusses the analysis of some types of economic time series using an altered time scale, or operational time. It is argued that for some series, observations that are ordinarily thought of as equidistant in time are actually irregularly spaced in a more natural time scale....

This paper extends earlier work on the RID to patents relationship (Pakes-Griliches 1980, and Hausman, Hall, and Griliches,1984) to a larger but shorter panel of firms. The focus of the paper is on solving a number of econometric problems associated with the discreteness of the dependent...

The paper features an examination of the link between the behaviour of the FTSE 100 and S&P500 Indexes in both an autoregressive distributed lag ARDL, plus a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag NARDL framework. The attraction of NARDL is that it represents the simplest method available of...

This study examined the effects of persistent exchange rate fluctuations on Nigeria's economic performance. It was motivated by the quest to ascertain why concerted efforts of the monetary authorities in Nigeria to pursue internal and external balances yielded little or no positive results in...

Cost-benefit analyses are commonly applied to assess the net welfare effects of policies to improve surface water quality. These analyses often disregard the biophysical fact that from implementation of policy measures to resulting improvements on water quality there will typically be...

It is widely accepted that the highly volatile capesize market has many peculiarities. Its importance has been recently highlighted by an increase in contribution of the Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) to the Baltic Dry Index (BDI), affecting the progress of the BDI more than any other dry bulk...