Purpose - This study aims to forecast the stock market behavior of BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) using advanced machine learning models. The focus is on identifying market trends, predicting future index prices and analyzing returns. Design/methodology/approach -...

We study how confidence bias affects investment in learning via experimentation, a mechanism critical for technology adoption under uncertainty. We hypothesize that bias direction and strength predict how willingness to experiment diverges from unbiased agents. We measure revealed and stated...

This study proposes a novel attention-based deep neural network (AttDNN) model specifically designed for predicting mergers and acquisitions (M&A). The model extends existing deep learning frameworks by incorporating M&A-specific features, regularization layers, and an attention mechanism that...

Early adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) reshaped how firms responded to market dynamics by enhancing data collection and analysis. Linking China's universe of customs shipments to millions of online job ads, we tracked AI hiring in sales, marketing, and analytics to build a firm-level...

We study how consumers form and revise inflation expectations using a unique, highly balanced monthly panel of Dutch households. We develop a Bayesian framework that nests Full-Information Rational Expectations (FIRE) alongside common forecasting heuristics and test it by recovering...

Identifying sensitive periods in which the returns to investments into skills are especially high is challenging, but crucial for an effective and efficient timing of parental or public investments aimed at fostering children's skills. We can detect sensitive periods with a novel design by...

This work highlights a previously overlooked factor that contributes to bias in private inflation forecasts-ignorance of confidential monetary rules. Additionally, it examines how this ignorance indirectly affects policy rate settings. The model proposed reconciles biases in two key forecast...

Shimer documents that the search-and-matching model driven by productivity shocks explains only a small share of the observed volatility of unemployment and vacancies, which is known as the Shimer puzzle. We revisit this evidence by replacing the representative firm's optimization with a deep...

Organizational learning theory has long recognized the advantages of sequential repetition, since successive events allow organizations multiple opportunities to iteratively refine their approaches. In many situations, though, events unfold so quickly that they can overlap, becoming more...

This study explores the relationship between multidimensional technology adoption and utilization with exports, focusing on textile and clothing firms in Indonesia. Grounded by self-selection and learning-by-exporting hypotheses, this study uses binomial probit and ordinary least squares (OLS)...

Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) and the broad adoption of distance learning over the past few years have caused a remarkable shift in the educational landscape. However, the vast majority of available MOOCs often challenge learners in selecting courses that align with their academic goals,...

An adaptive analytics workflow is presented for customer churn prediction, combining Principal Component Analysis for dimensionality reduction, a hybrid Modified Particle Swarm Gravitational Search Optimization (MPSO-GSO) for feature selection and hyperparameter tuning, and an ensemble learning...

Personality prediction has become an increasingly important area in psychological computing and human-centered AI, especially with the rise of user-generated textual data from social media platforms. However, current approaches - primarily based on supervised learning - face major challenges in...

Context: This study uses a social space approach to investigate Virtual Reality (VR)-based workplace learning in the context of apprenticeship training in the electronics industry in Switzerland. It was one part of a project which developed a prototype VR environment that enables apprentices to...

In today's globalised trade, supply chains form complex networks spanning multiple organisations and even countries, making them highly vulnerable to disruptions. These vulnerabilities, highlighted by recent global crises, underscore the urgent need for improved visibility and resilience of the...