This course covers empirical methods for inflation forecasting. However, many of the principles that seem to be useful in predicting inflation turn out to be important on other forecasting contexts too. For example, in inflation prediction and in other contexts, models which are very simple and...

The course consists of several distinct, but interconnected lectures: · Lecture 1. Simple Models of Policy Interactions: Some Monetary Doctrines · Lecture 2. Fiscal Theory of the Price Level · Lecture 3. Policy Interactions with Tax Distortions · Lecture 4. Fiscal Limits · Lecture 5. Policy...