Развитие трудового потенциала АПК Казахстана: эконометрический анализ

Purpose - to conduct study of current state of labor potential of rural areas, prospects for the development of social and economic aspects of rural areas in successful modernization. Consider theoretical foundations of economic and mathematical modeling of the dynamics of labor potential development. Methods - it is proposed to use methodology of carrying out forecast calculations based on econometric model in the form of a system of joint equations that traces the connection between labor potential and changes in demographic structure of the country's rural population. In the study the statistical data series provided by the Bureau of National Statistics of the Agency for Strategic Planning and Reforms of the Republic of Kazakhstan is used. The measures of state support aimed at the development of labour resources of rural areas have been analysed and summarised. In order to determine the value of the main statistical indicators characterising the dynamics of the development of labour resources of rural areas in the Republic of Kazakhstan for the coming period of time, calculated forecast models were used. Results - represent the analysis of current challenges and opportunities that labor potential of rural areas faces in the context of modernization of the AIC of Kazakhstan. Conclusions - on the basis of forecast calculations of indicators reflecting the trends in the development of labour potential of the agro-industrial sector the possibilities of increasing the GDP of products and (services) of agriculture, forestry and fisheries have been identified. Additional ways of development of labor potential of rural areas of Kazakhstan in the context of modernization of agro-industrial complex, aimed at improving the state of agricultural science, creating conditions for the growth of labor productivity in agriculture are proposed.