A SETAR model for Canadian GDP: non-linearities and forecast comparisons
This paper investigates the forecasting performance of the non-linear time series SETAR model by using Canadian GDP data from 1965 to 2000. Besides the within-sample fit, the forecasting performance of a standard linear ARIMA model for the same sample has also been generated for comparative purposes. Two forecasting methods, one-step-ahead and multi-step-ahead forecasting, are compared for each type of model.
Year of publication: |
2003
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Authors: | Feng, Hui ; Liu, Jia |
Published in: |
Applied Economics. - Taylor & Francis Journals, ISSN 0003-6846. - Vol. 35.2003, 18, p. 1957-1964
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Publisher: |
Taylor & Francis Journals |
Saved in:
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