An Application of the Regression Analogue of the Demographically Enhanced Shift-Share Model

The objective of this research is to investigate employment patterns by age-sex specific cohorts through the application of a modified version of the shift-share model and in the process incorporating the Patterson (1991) regression analogue. Are older workers becoming unemployed or encouraged to take early retirement? Has the shift to less physically demanding employment across industries benefited females? The results of this study clearly indicate that adult workers have fared better than either younger or older workers in terms of relative employment growth, suggesting that the trend towards early retirement has not significantly reduced the employment problem facing younger cohorts.