An Indicator-Based Short-Term Forecast for Quarterly GDP in the Euro Area.

This paper discusses an approach to estimate euro area GDP quarterly growth over two quarters ahead. The estimates are derived from separate single equations for each quarter to be forecast using OLS including a moving error term. The explanatory variables describe real economic activity or its assessment in opinion surveys, and financial variables, both of the euro area and the US.

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Year of publication:	2001
Authors:	Grasmann, P. ; Keereman, F.
Institutions:	Directorate-General Economic and Financial Affairs, European Commission
Subject:	GROWTH RATE \| FORECASTS \| MANUFACTURING

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Series:	European Economy - Economic Papers.
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Notes:	34 pages
Classification:	C53 - Forecasting and Other Model Applications ; C32 - Time-Series Models ; C35 - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models
Source:	RePEc - Research Papers in Economics

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005671674