An investigation into the uncertainty revision process of professional forecasters

Michael P. Clements, Robert Rich, Joseph Tracy

Year of publication:	[2023]
Authors:	Clements, Michael P. ; Rich, Robert W. ; Tracy, Joseph S.
Publisher:	[Washington, DC] : American Enterprise Institute
Subject:	Variance forecasts \| survey expectations \| Bayesian learning \| Prognoseverfahren \| Forecasting model \| Bayes-Statistik \| Bayesian inference \| Lernprozess \| Learning process \| Theorie \| Theory \| Risiko \| Risk \| Prognose \| Forecast \| Erwartungsbildung \| Expectation formation \| Wirtschaftsprognose \| Economic forecast \| Rationale Erwartung \| Rational expectations

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