Are macroeconomic forecasters optimists or pessimists? : a reassessment of survey based forecasts
Year of publication: |
2022
|
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Authors: | Huang, Rong ; Pilbeam, Keith ; Pouliot, William |
Published in: |
Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO. - Amsterdam [u.a.] : Elsevier, ISSN 0167-2681, ZDB-ID 864321-0. - Vol. 197.2022, p. 706-724
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Subject: | Bayesian decision theory | ECB survey of professional forecasters | Ex-ante uncertainty | Ex-post uncertainty | Macroeconomic uncertainty | Subjective probability distribution | Risiko | Risk | Wirtschaftsprognose | Economic forecast | Prognoseverfahren | Forecasting model | Entscheidungstheorie | Decision theory | Bayes-Statistik | Bayesian inference | Entscheidung unter Unsicherheit | Decision under uncertainty | Frühindikator | Leading indicator | Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung | Probability theory | Prognose | Forecast |
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