Assessing the Impact of Deterrence on Road Safety due to the Demerit Point System

This paper assesses the impact of a decrease in demerit points on the probability of traffic violation. To address the inherent heterogeneity of drivers, I use the expiration process of points to compare the behaviour of similar drivers with different demerit points. I find that a 3-point decrease in the number of demerit points only has an impact for drivers close to the limit, but increases their probability of violation by 50 to 80 percent.

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Year of publication:	2012-06
Authors:	Chandler, Vincent
Institutions:	Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München
Subject:	Demerit point system \| deterrence \| driving \| road safety \| traffic violation

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Extent:	application/pdf
Series:	MPRA Paper.
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Classification:	K32 - Environmental, Health, and Safety Law ; K42 - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law ; C25 - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models
Source:	RePEc - Research Papers in Economics

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011111132