Bubbles and long-range dependence in asset prices volatilities
A model for a financial asset is constructed with two types of agents. The agents differ in terms of their beliefs. The proportions of the two types change over time according to a stochastic process which models the interaction between the agents. Thus, unlike other models, agents do not persist in holding "wrong" beliefs. Bubble-like phenomena in the assetprice occur. We consider several tests for detecting long range dependence and change-points in the conditional variance process. Although the model seems to generate long-memory properties of the volatility series, we show that this is due to the switching of regimes which are detected by the tests we propose.
Year of publication: |
2002-10
|
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Authors: | KIRMAN, Alan ; TEYSSIÈRE, Gilles |
Institutions: | Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), École des Sciences Économiques de Louvain |
Subject: | interaction | bubbles | testing | long-memory | heteroskedasticity | change-point |
Saved in:
freely available
Extent: | application/pdf |
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Series: | |
Type of publication: | Book / Working Paper |
Notes: | The text is part of a series UNIVERSITE CATHOLIQUE DE LOUVAIN, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE) Number 2002060 |
Classification: | C52 - Model Evaluation and Testing ; C22 - Time-Series Models ; D40 - Market Structure and Pricing. General ; G12 - Asset Pricing |
Source: |
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005008606
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