Censored posterior and predictive likelihood in Bayesian left-tail prediction for accurate value at risk estimation
Lukasz Gatarek; Lennart Hoogerheide; Koen Hooning; Herman K. van Dijk
Year of publication: |
2013
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Authors: | Gatarek, Lukasz ; Hoogerheide, Lennart ; Hooning, Koen ; Dijk, Herman K. van |
Publisher: |
Rotterdam |
Subject: | Censored likelihood | Censored posterior | Censored predictive likelihood | Bayesian model averaging | Value at risk | Metropolis-Hastings algorithm | Risikoprämie | Risk premium | Statistische Verteilung | Statistical distribution | Prognoseverfahren | Forecasting model | Bayes-Statistik | Bayesian inference | ARCH-Modell | ARCH model | Algorithmus | Algorithm | Theorie | Theory |
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freely available