Challenges for Estimating and Forecasting Macroeconomic Trends During Financial Crises : Implications for Counter-Cyclical Policies

The short article is focused on four issues associated with challenges in estimating and forecasting economic trends during financial crises: difficulties in forecasting the eruption of a large-scaled financial crisis, evaluation of some high-frequency modeling techniques, comparison of two quarterly GDP indicators in their value for defining the turning point, and discussion of how to estimate potential output

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Year of publication:	2009
Authors:	Hong, Pingfan
Publisher:	[2009]: [S.l.] : SSRN
Subject:	Finanzkrise \| Financial crisis \| Wirtschaftsprognose \| Economic forecast \| Wirtschaftswachstum \| Economic growth

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