Combining probability forecasts : 60 % and 60 % is 60 %, but likely and likely is very likely
Year of publication: |
2022
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Authors: | Mislavsky, Robert ; Gaertig, Celia |
Published in: |
Management science : journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences. - Hanover, Md. : INFORMS, ISSN 1526-5501, ZDB-ID 2023019-9. - Vol. 68.2022, 1, p. 541-563
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Subject: | uncertainty | forecasting | verbal probabilities | combining judgments | combining forecasts | predictions | Prognoseverfahren | Forecasting model | Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung | Probability theory | Frühindikator | Leading indicator | Prognose | Forecast | Theorie | Theory | Risiko | Risk |
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