Decision analysis for managers : a guide for making better personal and business decisions

Online-Ressource

Part of: 2013 digital library. - Includes bibliographical references (p. [129]) and index. - Title from PDF t.p. (viewed on April 1, 2013)

Contents; Acknowledgments; Preface; CHAPTER 1. What Is Decision Analysis?: And Why Should I Care?; CHAPTER 2. How to Start Framing a DA Problem: How Can We Work Together?; CHAPTER 3. The Objectives Hierarchy: What Do We Want?; CHAPTER 4. Decisions and Alternatives: What Can We Do?; CHAPTER 5. Influence Diagrams: What Do We Know?; CHAPTER 6. Uncertainty Assessment: The Boundary Between Knownand Unknown; CHAPTER 7. Building a Deterministic Model: Time to Run the Numbers; CHAPTER 8. Tornado Diagrams: Figuring Out What Is Important

CHAPTER 9. Cumulative Probability: Looking at the Range of OutcomesCHAPTER 10. Value of Information: How Much Is It Worth to Know?; CHAPTER 11. Multiattribute Decision Analysis: There's More to Life than Money; CHAPTER 12. Other Topics: More Things to Think About; Notes; References; Index

Acknowledgments -- Preface -- What is decision analysis? And why should I care? -- How to start framing a DA problem: how can we work together? -- The objectives hierarchy: what do we want? -- Decisions and alternatives: what can we do? -- Influence diagrams: what do we know? -- Uncertainty assessment: the boundary between known and unknown -- Building a deterministic model: time to run the numbers -- Tornado diagrams: figuring out what is important -- Cumulative probability: looking at the range of outcomes -- Value of information: how much is it worth to know? -- Multiattribute decision analysis: there's more to life than money -- Other topics: more things to think about -- Notes -- References -- Index.

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