Disentangling the effects of multidimensional monetary policy on inflation and inflation expectations in the euro area
Catalina Martínez-Hernández
The European Central Bank (ECB) has adopted a mixture of conventional and unconventional tools in order to achieve its mandate of price stability in the current low-inflation, low-interest-rate scenario. This paper contributes to the existing literature by providing a taxonomy of the ECB’s policy toolkit and by evaluating its implications on price stability and the anchoring of inflation expectations. I carry out my analysis based on a high-frequency identification and the estimation of a large Bayesian Vector Autoregression. I find evidence of re-anchored expectations as response to quantitative easing and forward guidance, i.e. forecasters revise their long-run expectations upwards. Consequently, inflation increases, which stresses the crucial role of expectations for the transmission of monetary policy.
Year of publication: |
2020 ; This version: October 30, 2020
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Authors: | Martínez-Hernández, Catalina |
Publisher: |
[Berlin] : Freie Universität Berlin |
Subject: | Inflation Expectations | Monetary Policy | Large BVAR | High-frequency identification | Inflationserwartung | Inflation expectations | Geldpolitik | Monetary policy | Inflation | Eurozone | Euro area | VAR-Modell | VAR model | EU-Staaten | EU countries |
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