Endogenizing the Reservation Value in Models of Land Development Over Time and Under Uncertainty

The concept of a reservation value is a key feature of most contemporary dynamic and probabilistic models of land development. It is clear that the magnitude of the reservation value has a fundamental bearing on the decision to develop or preserve land. This notwithstanding, many articles that analyze land development in a dynamic and stochastic setting treat a landowner's reservation value as an exogenous variable. Therefore, the purpose of this paper is to endogenize the reservation value in the context of a model of land development over time and under uncertainty. Our analysis shows that the optimal reservation value is the solution to a particular maximization problem. In addition, we also show that there exist theoretical circumstances in which the optimal reservation value is unique