Evaluating the Median Voter Model's Explanatory Power

We match individual senators' voting behavior on legislative proposals with 24 real referenda decisions on exactly the same issues with identical wording. This setting allows us to evaluate the median voter model's quality with revealed constituents' preferences. Results indicate a limited explanatory power of the median voter model: It explains 17.6 percentage points more than random voting and a senator's probability to accept a proposal in parliament increases on average by 8.4 percentage points when the district median voter accepts the proposal.

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Year of publication:	2011
Authors:	Stadelmann, David ; Portmann, Marco ; Eichenberger, Reiner
Publisher:	Basel : Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts (CREMA)
Subject:	Median Voter Model \| Political Representation \| Constituents' Preferences

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Series:	CREMA Working Paper ; 2011-15
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Type of publication (narrower categories):	Working Paper
Language:	English
Other identifiers:	hdl:10419/214499 [Handle] RePEc:cra:wpaper:2011-15 [RePEc]
Classification:	D7 - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making ; H7 - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations
Source:	EconStor

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012168383