EXCHANGE RATE SENSITIVITY OF AUSTRALIA'S TRADE FLOWS: EVIDENCE FROM INDUSTRY DATA

In this paper we disaggregate the trade data between Australia and the USA by commodity and estimate import and export demand models for 108 commodities for which annual data over the 1962-2005 period were available. The results from the bounds testing approach to cointegration and error-correction modelling indicate that in the long run 41 export industries and 70 import industries are sensitive to the real value of the Australian dollar. Copyright © 2009 The Authors. Journal compilation © 2009 Blackwell Publishing Ltd and The University of Manchester.