Financial Forecasting, Analysis and Modelling : A Framework for Long-Term Forecasting

Risk analysis has become critical to modern financial planning Financial Forecasting, Analysis and Modelling provides a complete framework of long-term financial forecasts in a practical and accessible way, helping finance professionals include uncertainty in their planning and budgeting process. With thorough coverage of financial statement simulation models and clear, concise implementation instruction, this book guides readers step-by-step through the entire projection plan development process. Readers learn the tools, techniques, and special considerations that increase accuracy and smooth

MoreLess

Year of publication:	2015
Authors:	Samonas, Michael
Publisher:	Hoboken : Wiley
Subject:	Prognoseverfahren \| Forecasting model \| Betriebliche Finanzwirtschaft \| Managerial finance \| Wirtschaftsmathematik \| Business mathematics
Description of contents:	Table of Contents [gbv.de]

Extent:	Online-Ressource (234 p)
Series:	The Wiley Finance Series Wiley Finance Series The Wiley Finance Ser
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Language:	English
Notes:	Description based upon print version of record Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Contents; Part one Developing Corporate Finance Models; Chapter 1 Introduction; 1.1 What is Financial Modelling?; 1.2 Defining the Inputs and the Outputs of a Simple Financial Model; 1.3 The Financial Modelling Process of More Complex Models; 1.3.1 Step 1: Defining the Problem the Model Will Solve: The Fundamental Business Question; 1.3.2 Step 2: Specification of the Model; 1.3.3 Step 3: Designing and Building the Model; 1.3.4 Step 4: Checking the Model's Output; 1.4 Excel as a Tool of Modelling: Capabilities and Limitations Chapter 2 A Short Primer in the Accounting of Financial Statements2.1 The Accounting Equation; 2.2 The Balance Sheet; 2.3 The Income Statement; 2.3.1 Cash Accounting Versus Accrual Accounting; 2.4 The Cash Flow Statement; 2.4.1 Operating Activities; 2.4.2 Investing Activities; 2.4.3 Financing Activities; 2.4.4 Income Flows and Cash Flows; 2.4.5 Preparing the Statement of Cash Flows; 2.5 The Articulation of Income Statement, Balance Sheet, and Cash Flow Statements; 2.6 Financial Statement Analysis: Ratio Analysis; 2.6.1 Profitability Ratios; 2.6.2 Liquidity Ratios; 2.6.3 Solvency Ratios 2.6.4 Other Ratios2.6.5 The Limitations of Financial Ratios; Chapter 3 Financial Statement Modelling; 3.1 Introduction - How Financial Models Work; 3.2 Collecting and Analyzing Historical Data; 3.3 Selecting the Key Forecast Drivers; 3.4 Modelling the Income Statement; 3.5 Modelling the Balance Sheet; 3.6 Modelling Interest and Circular References; 3.7 Modelling the Cash Flow Statement; Chapter 4 Forecasting Performance; 4.1 Introduction: Designing a Dashboard-like Control Panel; 4.2 Basic Statistical Methods Used for Forecasting; 4.3 Forecasting Sales 4.3.1 Bottom-up Versus Top-down Forecasting4.3.2 Forecasting Sales of Existing Products or Services; 4.4 Forecasting Costs; 4.5 Forecasting CAPEX and Depreciation; 4.5.1 Forecasting CAPEX and Depreciation for Existing Companies; 4.6 Forecasting Working Capital and Funding Needs; 4.6.1 Forecasting Funding Needs; Chapter 5 Business Valuation; 5.1 Valuation Approaches; 5.2 Steps for Applying the DCF Method; 5.3 Rewriting Financial Statements - Calculation of Free Cash Flows; 5.4 Calculating the Weighted Average Cost of Capital; 5.4.1 Calculating the Weighted Average Cost of Capital of SteelCo 5.5 Estimating the Terminal Value5.6 DCF Summary - Enterprise Value Adjustments; Part two Planning for Uncertainty; Chapter 6 Using Sensitivity Analysis; 6.1 Introduction; 6.2 One-Dimensional and 2-Dimensional Sensitivity Analysis; 6.3 Choosing the Variables to Change; 6.4 Modelling Example; 6.4.1 Selecting the Variables to Change; 6.4.2 Assigning a Range of Values; 6.4.3 Constructing the 2-dimensional Sensitivity Analysis Table; 6.4.4 Interpreting the Results; Chapter 7 Using Scenarios; 7.1 Introduction; 7.2 Using Scenario Analysis with Excel's Scenario Manager; 7.2.1 Adding 2 More Scenarios 7.3 Alternative Ways to Create Scenarios in Excel
ISBN:	978-1-118-92108-1 ; 978-1-118-92110-4 ; 978-1-118-92108-1
Source:	ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011838995