Fiscal Forecasting : The Track Record of the IMF, OECD and EC

We analyse the relative performance of the IMF, OECD and EC in forecasting the government deficit, as a ratio to GDP, for the G7 countries. Interesting differences across countries emerge, sometimes supporting the hypothesis of an asymmetric loss function (i.e. of a preference for underprediction or overprediction), and potential benefits from forecast pooling

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Year of publication:	2014
Authors:	Artis, Michael J. ; Marcellino, Massimiliano
Publisher:	[S.l.] : SSRN
Subject:	OECD-Staaten \| OECD countries \| Welt \| World \| Prognoseverfahren \| Forecasting model \| EU-Staaten \| EU countries \| Haushaltsdefizit \| Budget deficit
Description of contents:	Abstract [papers.ssrn.com]

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Extent:	1 Online-Ressource
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Language:	English
Notes:	In: Econometrics Journal, Vol. 4, pp. S20-S36, 2001 Volltext nicht verfügbar
Source:	ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW

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