Forecasting German Population Development with Monte-Carlo Methods: Further Evidence Based on a Disaggregate Model

The Following Paper Extends the Idea of Monte-Carlo Simulation to the Analysis of Future Population Development in the German Context. in a Disaggregate Model We Distinguish Among German and Other Ethnic Groups Because of Their Different Fertility Rates, and According to Sex and Age. the Results for the Year 2030 Suggest a Decrease of Total Population by One Third Which Is Very Stable Against Credible Variations of Birth Rates.

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Year of publication:	1987
Authors:	Blum, U.
Institutions:	Département de Sciences Économiques, Université de Montréal
Subject:	Polation Forecasts \| Simulation

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Series:	Cahiers de recherche.
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Notes:	11 pages long. pages
Source:	RePEc - Research Papers in Economics

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731974