Forecasting Peak Demand - what do we need to know?
Peak day demand is a key design parameter for assessing the future capital infrastructureneeds of bulk water delivery systems. In addition, an understanding of peak demand iscritical in designing demand management programs and establishing cost recovery pricingregimes. Despite the importance of peak demand on system design, little detailedresearch has been undertaken on developing approaches for forecasting peak demand.Accordingly, this paper identifies the non-elimatic factors found to affect peak demand andexamines changes in technology, land use and behaviour and their influence on peakdemand forecasts. Furthermore, the paper contrasts several methods for forecasting peakdemand by emphasising the advantages and limitations of each.The paper concludes by proposing an alternative methodology to forecast trends in peakdemand through the creation of an innovative end use model for the residential sector. Thelimitations of the methodology and data requirements are discussed, as are theimplications for designing peak demand management programs.
|Year of publication:||
|Authors:||Day Denise ; Howe Carol|
|Other Persons:||Australian Water Association (contributor)|
|Type of publication:||Other|
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