Forecasting the ECB's main refinancing rate. A field experiment

When no appropriate markets to derive expectations on economic variables are available surveying methods are often employed. However, surveys suffer from the problem of how to aggregate individual expectations in a reasonable manner. We show at the example of a market on the ECB's main refinancing rate that experimental markets aggregate information quite efficiently and thus are a useful tool in this respect.

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Year of publication:	2008
Authors:	Berlemann, Michael
Published in:	Economics Letters. - Elsevier, ISSN 0165-1765. - Vol. 99.2008, 2, p. 379-383
Publisher:	Elsevier

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Type of publication:	Article
Source:	RePEc - Research Papers in Economics

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005175050