From noise to bias : overconfidence in new product forecasting

Daniel Feiler, Jordan Tong

Year of publication:	2022
Authors:	Feiler, Daniel ; Tong, Jordan
Published in:	Management science : journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences. - Hanover, Md. : INFORMS, ISSN 1526-5501, ZDB-ID 2023019-9. - Vol. 68.2022, 6, p. 4685-4702
Subject:	choice \| decision bias \| forecast \| judgment & decision-making \| laboratory experiments \| new product development \| overconfidence \| random error \| Produktentwicklung \| New product development \| Experiment \| Entscheidung \| Decision \| Systematischer Fehler \| Bias \| Prognoseverfahren \| Forecasting model \| Statistischer Fehler \| Statistical error \| Prognose \| Forecast \| Verhaltensökonomik \| Behavioral economics \| Innovation \| Entscheidung unter Unsicherheit \| Decision under uncertainty

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