How forward-looking is the Fed? Direct estimates from a 'Calvo-type' rule
We estimate an alternative type of monetary policy rule according to which the central bank targets a discounted infinite sum of expected inflation and output gaps. Empirical results suggest that the Fed has a mean forward horizon of 4 to 8 quarters.
Year of publication: |
2009
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Authors: | Gabriel, Vasco J. ; Levine, Paul ; Spencer, Christopher |
Published in: |
Economics Letters. - Elsevier, ISSN 0165-1765. - Vol. 104.2009, 2, p. 92-95
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Publisher: |
Elsevier |
Keywords: | Calvo-type interest rules Inflation forecast based rules GMM Indeterminacy |
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