Imprecise probabilistic beliefs as a context for decision-making under ambiguity
Coherent imprecise probabilistic beliefs are modeled as incomplete comparative likelihood relations admitting a multiple-prior representation. Under a structural assumption of Equidivisibility, we provide an axiomatization of such relations and show uniqueness of the representation. In the second part of the paper, we formulate a behaviorally general "Likelihood Compatibility" axiom relating preferences and probabilistic beliefs and characterize its implications for the class of "invariant biseparable" preferences that includes the MEU and CEU models among others.
Year of publication: |
2009
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Authors: | Nehring, Klaus |
Published in: |
Journal of Economic Theory. - Elsevier, ISSN 0022-0531. - Vol. 144.2009, 3, p. 1054-1091
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Publisher: |
Elsevier |
Keywords: | Ambiguity Comparative likelihood Qualitative probability Multiple priors Probabilistic sophistication Probabilistic beliefs Unambiguous events |
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