Improving GDP Measurement : A Forecast Combination Perspective

Two often - divergent U.S. GDP estimates are available, a widely-used expenditure-side version GDPE, and a much less widely-used income-side version GDI . The authors propose and explore a "forecast combination" approach to combining them. They then put the theory to work, producing a superior combined estimate of GDP growth for the U.S., GDPC. The authors compare GDPC to GDPE and GDPI , with particular attention to behavior over the business cycle. They discuss several variations and extensions

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Year of publication:	2011
Authors:	Aruoba, S. Borağan ; Diebold, Francis X. ; Nalewaik, Jeremy ; Schorfheide, Frank ; Song, Dongho
Publisher:	[S.l.] : SSRN
Subject:	Prognoseverfahren \| Forecasting model \| Prognose \| Forecast \| Nationaleinkommen \| National income \| Schätzung \| Estimation \| Bruttoinlandsprodukt \| Gross domestic product

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