Labour Market Effect of the Refugees on Turkish Natives

The paper analyses the labour market effects of the Syrian refugees on Turkish natives. Results suggest that there are no negative effects on native employment but there is a compositional change in the labour market. On the contrary, there is an evidence for positive effects on formal employment which is confirmed by the administrative data. By gender, results are differentiated in a systematic way. For males, while there is an increase in formal employment, informal employment decreases. Results are the opposite for females. There is a reduction in formal employment but an increase in informal female employment. These results suggest that while refugees are substitutes for females in the formal market, they are complements to formal male workers