Minimal Forecast Horizons in Equipment Replacement Models with Multiple Technologies and General Switching Costs

This article considers the problem of equipment replacement in which the replacement decision at a particular time must take into account (i) the state of the existing machine in use, (ii) the available replacement alternatives at the time, (iii) the future advances in the relevant technologies with regard to the equipment under consideration, and (iv) costs of switching between different technologies. A methodology that attains minimal forecast horizons for the problem is developed. A numerical example illustrates the methodology

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Year of publication:	2015
Authors:	Bylka, Stanislaw ; Sorger, Gerhard ; Sethi, Suresh
Publisher:	[S.l.] : SSRN
Subject:	Theorie \| Theory \| Wechselverhalten \| Switching behaviour \| Prognoseverfahren \| Forecasting model