ON A MODEL FOR PREDICTING THE EXCHANGE RATE EURO-LEU WITH A NAR NEURAL NETWORK
Developing new methods for predictive modeling of time series and application of existing techniques in many other areas will be a permanent concern for both researchers and companies that are interested to gain competitive advantages. In this paper, I used Matlab software suite to create a NAR (nonlinear autoregressive) neural network able to predict the following values of the series of exchange rate euro-leu. Using graphs obtained from numerous simulations emphasize the chaotic nature of the series. I also explore the possibility of improving the predictions with a time series made of arithmetic averages of predictions.
Year of publication: |
2012
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Authors: | Dumitru, CIOBANU |
Published in: |
Revista Economica. - Facultatea de Ştiinţe Economice. - Vol. Supplement.2012, 5, p. 38-44
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Publisher: |
Facultatea de Ştiinţe Economice |
Saved in:
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