On consistent valuations based on distorted expectations: from multinomial random walks to L\'{e}vy processes
A distorted expectation is a Choquet expectation with respect to the capacity induced by a concave probability distortion. Distorted expectations are encountered in various static settings, in risk theory, mathematical finance and mathematical economics. There are a number of different ways to extend a distorted expectation to a multi-period setting, which are not all time-consistent. One time-consistent extension is to define the non-linear expectation by backward recursion, applying the distorted expectation stepwise, over single periods. In a multinomial random walk model we show that this non-linear expectation is stable when the number of intermediate periods increases to infinity: Under a suitable scaling of the probability distortions and provided that the tick-size and time step-size converge to zero in such a way that the multinomial random walks converge to a Levy process, we show that values of random variables under the multi-period distorted expectations converge to the values under a continuous-time non-linear expectation operator, which may be identified with a certain type of Peng's g-expectation. A coupling argument is given to show that this operator reduces to a classical linear expectation when restricted to the set of pathwise increasing claims. Our results also show that a certain class of g-expectations driven by a Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure may be computed numerically by recursively defined distorted expectations.
Year of publication: |
2013-01
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Authors: | Madan, Dilip ; Pistorius, Martijn ; Stadje, Mitja |
Institutions: | arXiv.org |
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