Overconfidence in probability distributions : people know they don’t know, but they don’t know what to do about it
Year of publication: |
2024
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Authors: | Soll, Jack B. ; Palley, Asa B. ; Klayman, Joshua ; Moore, Don A. |
Published in: |
Management science : journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences. - Hanover, Md. : INFORMS, ISSN 1526-5501, ZDB-ID 2023019-9. - Vol. 70.2024, 11, p. 7422-7442
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Subject: | aleatory uncertainty | epistemic uncertainty | overconfidence | overprecision | probability judgment | subjective probability | Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung | Probability theory | Risiko | Risk | Entscheidung unter Unsicherheit | Decision under uncertainty | Theorie | Theory |
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