Peaks-over-threshold stability of multivariate generalized Pareto distributions
It is well-known that the univariate generalized Pareto distributions (GPD) are characterized by their peaks-over-threshold (POT) stability. We extend this result to multivariate GPDs. It is also shown that this POT stability is asymptotically shared by distributions which are in a certain neighborhood of a multivariate GPD. A multivariate extreme value distribution is a typical example. The usefulness of the results is demonstrated by various applications. We immediately obtain, for example, that the excess distribution of a linear portfolio with positive weights ai, i<=d, is independent of the weights, if (U1,...,Ud) follows a multivariate GPD with identical univariate polynomial or Pareto margins, which was established by Macke [On the distribution of linear combinations of multivariate EVD and GPD distributed random vectors with an application to the expected shortfall of portfolios, Diploma Thesis, University of Würzburg, 2004, (in German)] and Falk and Michel [Testing for tail independence in extreme value models. Ann. Inst. Statist. Math. 58 (2006) 261-290]. This implies, for instance, that the expected shortfall as a measure of risk fails in this case.
Year of publication: |
2008
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Authors: | Falk, Michael ; Guillou, Armelle |
Published in: |
Journal of Multivariate Analysis. - Elsevier, ISSN 0047-259X. - Vol. 99.2008, 4, p. 715-734
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Publisher: |
Elsevier |
Keywords: | Peaks-over-threshold stability Multivariate extreme value distribution Multivariate generalized Pareto distribution Excess distribution Linear portfolio Expected shortfall |
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