Predicting total solar irradiation values using artificial neural networks

This study explores the possibility of developing an artificial neural networks model that could be used to predict monthly average daily total solar irradiation on a horizontal surface for locations in Uganda based on geographical and meteorological data: latitude, longitude, altitude, sunshine duration, relative humidity and maximum temperature. Results have shown good agreement between the predicted and measured values of total solar irradiation. A correlation coefficient of 0.997 was obtained with mean bias error of 0.018MJ/m2 and root mean square error of 0.131MJ/m2. Overall, the artificial neural networks model predicted with an accuracy of 0.1% of the mean absolute percentage error.