Predictive Consequences of Using Conditioning or Causal Variables
Forecasts based on two information sets, one of which includes the other plus additional causal variables are considered. Given a general cost function of forecast errors, it is shown that the expected cost is smaller for the information set that includes the causal variables.
| Year of publication: |
1987
|
|---|---|
| Authors: | Granger, C.W.J. ; Thomson, P. J. |
| Published in: |
Econometric Theory. - Cambridge University Press. - Vol. 3.1987, 01, p. 150-152
|
| Publisher: |
Cambridge University Press |
| Description of contents: | Abstract [journals.cambridge.org] |
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