Lev Virine, Michael Trumper (Project Decisions, Calgary, Canada)
Introduction -- Project risk management and qualitative project risk analysis -- What is project risk management and risk analysis -- Risk identification, monitoring and control -- Risk registers and risk prioritization -- Risk mitigation and response planning -- Quantitative project risk analysis -- Monte carlo schedule risk analysis -- Project risk analysis with events: an introduction to event chain methodology -- Event chain diagrams -- Event chain methodology : managing event chains -- Interpreting results of quantitative analysis -- Project performance measurement with risks and uncertainties -- Advanced quantitative project risk analysis -- More uncertainties : calendars, success rates, work and resources -- Scenario analysis, branching, and decision trees -- Probabilistic cost and cash flow analysis -- Non-schedule related risks and integrated risk analysis -- Portfolio risk analysis -- Introduction to portfolio risk analysis -- Monte Carlo simulations of project portfolios -- Conclusions -- Appendixes -- Appendix A. Basic principles of event chain methodology -- Appendix B. What can we get from monte carlo simulation -- Appendix C. Project risk analysis software -- Future reading -- Glossary -- References -- Index