Regenerative Block-bootstrap for Markov Chains
This paper introduces a speci…c Bootstrap method for positiverecurrent Markov chains, based on the regenerative method and the Nummelinsplitting technique. The main idea underlying this construction consists in generatinga sequence of approximate pseudo-renewal times for a Harris chain X fromdata X1; :::; Xn and the parameters of a minorization condition satis…ed by itstransition probability kernel and then applying a variant of the methodology proposedby Datta &McCormick (1993) for bootstrapping additive functionals of typen¡1Pni=1 f(Xi)when the chain possesses an atom. We prove that, in the atomiccase, our method inherits the accuracy of the Bootstrap in the i.i.d. case up toOP(n¡1) under weak conditions. In the general (non necessarily) stationary case,asymptotic validity for this resampling procedure is established, provided that aconsistent estimator of the transition kernel may be computed. The second ordervalidity (up to a rate close to OP (n¡1)for regular stationary Markov Chains) isobtained in the stationary case. Applications to speci…c Markovian models arediscussed, together with some simulation results.
Year of publication: |
2004
|
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Authors: | Bertail, Patrice ; Clémençon, Stéphan |
Institutions: | Centre de Recherche en Économie et Statistique (CREST), Groupe des Écoles Nationales d'Économie et Statistique (GENES) |
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