Sentiment-induced regime switching in density forecasts of emerging markets’ exchange rates : calibrated simulation trumps estimated autoregression
Year of publication: |
2019
|
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Authors: | Jaworski, Krystian |
Published in: |
Bank i kredyt. - Warszawa, ISSN 0137-5520, ZDB-ID 2374691-9. - Vol. 50.2019, 1, p. 83-106
|
Subject: | evaluating forecasts | regime switching | density forecast | model selection | Value at Risk | Prognoseverfahren | Forecasting model | Wechselkurs | Exchange rate | Schwellenländer | Emerging economies | Statistische Verteilung | Statistical distribution | Risikomaß | Risk measure | Theorie | Theory | Zeitreihenanalyse | Time series analysis | Simulation |
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